# Denver Broncos 2026 season outlook

> Live situation record from CLSTR: https://clstr.news/situations/20260908-denver-broncos-2026-season-outlook
> Updated: 2026-09-08T17:49:21.000Z. Sources: 4. Developments: 2.

Following a successful 2025 season where the Denver Broncos won the AFC West and reached the AFC championship game, the team faces uncertain projections for the 2026 season. Initial outlooks vary, with some simulations suggesting a potential decline to a 7-10 record, while others project an average of approximately 9.2 wins.

Subsequent statistical analysis has identified the Broncos as a primary candidate for performance regression. Analysts point to the team’s high win rate in close contests during the previous season—specifically nine wins in games decided by seven points or fewer—as a metric that is difficult to replicate year over year.

## Timeline

### 2026-09-08: NFL statistical analysis identifies potential 2026 regression candidates

Statistical metrics like one-score game records and EPA per play suggest the Denver Broncos could face regression in the 2026 NFL season after a successful 2025-26 campaign.

2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/nfl-statistical-analysis-identifies-potential-2026-regression-candidates

### 2026-09-06: Denver Broncos face mixed outlooks for 2026 season

Following a record-breaking 14-3 season in 2025, the Denver Broncos face uncertain 2026 projections ranging from a 7-10 finish to a more optimistic 9-win season.

2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/denver-broncos-face-mixed-outlooks-for-2026-season

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Cite as: Denver Broncos 2026 season outlook. CLSTR, https://clstr.news/situations/20260908-denver-broncos-2026-season-outlook