# Global copper market supply and price volatility

> Live situation record from CLSTR: https://clstr.news/situations/20261013-global-copper-market-supply-and-price-volatility
> Updated: 2026-10-13T21:20:52.000Z. Sources: 112. Developments: 2.

Copper prices initially rose on the London Metal Exchange, reaching $14,464 per metric tonne. This increase was driven by strong demand from China and supply concerns stemming from production challenges in Chile. Specifically, a strike at the Centinela mine and production declines at major sites like Codelco, Escondida, and Spence contributed to fears regarding global availability.

However, the market trend shifted by mid-October as copper-linked assets and major mining companies experienced declines. Despite a drop in the US dollar index, which typically supports metal prices, stocks such as Southern Copper and Freeport-McMoRan fell, suggesting sector-specific selling.

## Claims

- Some customers are expressing interest in placing orders for 2029 and 2030. (corroborated by 26 sources)
- Planned supply for 2027 and 2028 will not be sufficient to meet customer demand. (corroborated by 25 sources)
- ASML raised its full-year 2026 revenue forecast to between 44 billion and 45 billion euros. (corroborated by 25 sources)
- ASML reported Q3 2026 net sales of approximately 11.66 billion euros. (corroborated by 23 sources)
- ASML reported Q3 2026 net income of approximately 4.96 billion euros. (corroborated by 22 sources)
- TSMC reported Q3 revenue of $46.72 billion, a 50.9% increase year-over-year. (corroborated by 10 sources)
- Samsung and TSMC have committed to using ASML’s High-NA EUV machines. (corroborated by 8 sources)
- BlackRock's assets under management reached a record $15.49 trillion. (corroborated by 5 sources)
- TSMC projects fourth-quarter revenue between $52.3 billion and $54.3 billion. (corroborated by 5 sources)
- ASML expects fourth-quarter 2026 net sales to be between 14.2 billion and 15.2 billion euros. (corroborated by 5 sources)
- TSMC is evaluating potential sites in Texas for expansion. (corroborated by 5 sources)
- BlackRock's third-quarter net profit rose 25% to $1.66 billion. (corroborated by 4 sources)

## Timeline

### 2026-10-13: ASML and TSMC report strong growth driven by AI demand

ASML and TSMC report record growth driven by AI demand, with ASML facing supply shortages through 2028. BlackRock also saw a 25% profit jump amid strong ETF inflows.

104 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/copper-mining-stocks-and-funds-decline-amid-sector-selling

### 2026-10-08: Copper prices rise as Chilean mine disruptions threaten supply

Copper prices are rising amid supply threats from Chilean mining strikes at Centinela and production declines at major sites like Codelco, alongside strong demand from China and electrification.

9 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/silver-and-gold-prices-surge-amid-fed-policy-shifts

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Cite as: Global copper market supply and price volatility. CLSTR, https://clstr.news/situations/20261013-global-copper-market-supply-and-price-volatility