# 2026/27 UEFA Champions League predictions > Live situation record from CLSTR: https://clstr.news/situations/202627-uefa-champions-league-predictions > Updated: 2026-09-08T09:10:45.000Z. Sources: 8. Developments: 2. Opta supercomputer simulations have identified Arsenal as the favorite to win the 2026/27 UEFA Champions League. Based on 10,000 simulations, the London club holds a winning probability of approximately 20.9% to 21.18%. Bayern Munich follows as the second most likely winner with a probability between 19.4% and 19.9%, while Manchester City is ranked third with a 12% chance. Other notable contenders include Barcelona at 8.2%, Real Madrid at 7.73%, and Paris Saint-Germain in fifth place with a 7.1% probability. Liverpool holds a 6.1% chance of winning the title. In the projected League Phase standings, the top eight teams are predicted to be Bayern Munich, Arsenal, Manchester City, Barcelona, Liverpool, Paris Saint-Germain, Real Madrid, and Inter Milan. Arsenal is scheduled to begin its campaign with a challenging away match against Napoli at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. Despite upcoming fixtures against Real Madrid and Bayern Munich, Opta predicts a 93.1% chance of Arsenal advancing to the knockout stages. ## Timeline ### 2026-09-08: Arsenal identified as favorite to win 2026/27 Champions League Opta supercomputer simulations name Arsenal as the favorite to win the 2026/27 Champions League, leading Bayern Munich and Manchester City in probability rankings. 5 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/arsenal-identified-as-favorite-for-202627-champions-league-title ### 2026-09-04: Opta supercomputer predicts Champions League favorites Opta supercomputer predictions for the 2026/27 Champions League name Arsenal as favorites (21.18%) to win, followed by Bayern Munich and Manchester City. 4 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/opta-supercomputer-predicts-champions-league-favorites --- Cite as: 2026/27 UEFA Champions League predictions. CLSTR, https://clstr.news/situations/202627-uefa-champions-league-predictions