# Agricultural and commodity market price fluctuations

> Developing situation record from CLSTR: https://clstr.news/situations/agricultural-and-commodity-market-price-fluctuations
> Updated: 2026-10-28T14:56:00.000Z. Sources: 8. Developments: 2.

Agricultural markets in the Balkans and Europe have experienced varying degrees of price volatility. In Montenegro, food prices saw sharp increases in mid-October, with green cabbage rising by 108.7 percent and red cabbage by 59.09 percent compared to the previous year. Imported butter also experienced a rapid spike of nearly 50 percent within a two-week period. In Serbia, livestock prices showed regional instability, with increases for fattening pigs and bulls in certain areas due to low supply, while other regions reported decreases.

In Poland, the poultry market has moved toward stabilization, though recent data shows a nearly 19% year-on-year decrease in chicken breast fillet prices. Industry representatives have raised concerns regarding the EU–Mercosur agreement and its impact on competitiveness against imports. The grain market in Poland is also seeing shifts, with the average rye purchase price dropping by 6.65% to 62 PLN per quintal, which may lower agricultural tax rates for 2027. However, supply remains tight as farmers withhold sales due to geopolitical factors, including US elections and potential peace talks between Russia and Ukraine.

In the livestock sector, EU pig slaughter prices have fallen by over 15% compared to last year due to high supply and weak demand. Furthermore, the Polish pork export market faces uncertainty as the Philippines considers raising import tariffs to as high as 40%. Meanwhile, corn production in the EU is seeing downward revisions, with expected yields in Hungary and France being significantly lower than previous forecasts.

Coffee commodity prices for Arabica and Robusta have begun to level off following previous volatility. While improved weather in Brazil and better yields in Vietnam and Indonesia have aided stability, analysts project a significant supply deficit for the 2024/2025 season.

## Claims

- Grain supply, excluding ongoing corn harvests, has significantly decreased. (reported by 1 source)
- Farmers are withholding grain sales in hopes of achieving higher prices. (reported by 1 source)
- The US midterm elections and potential peace talks between Ukraine and Russia are influencing market stability. (reported by 1 source)
- Some intermediaries are raising prices by up to 40 PLN per tonne. (reported by 1 source)

## Timeline

### 2026-10-28: Polish agricultural sector faces price volatility and trade risks

Polish farmers face diverse challenges, including falling rye prices, a 19% drop in poultry fillet costs, and potential tariff hikes in the Philippines affecting pork exports.

5 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/market-trends-show-price-stabilization-in-poultry-and-coffee-sectors

### 2026-10-21: Agricultural product prices show significant volatility in Montenegro and Serbia

Agricultural markets in Montenegro and Serbia report volatile price trends, with significant increases in cabbage and butter in Montenegro, and regional livestock price shifts in Serbia.

3 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/agricultural-product-prices-show-significant-volatility-in-montenegro-and-serbia

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Cite as: Agricultural and commodity market price fluctuations. CLSTR, https://clstr.news/situations/agricultural-and-commodity-market-price-fluctuations