# Belarusian political and border security tensions > Live situation record from CLSTR: https://clstr.news/situations/belarusian-political-and-border-security-tensions > Updated: 2026-10-13T13:40:06.000Z. Sources: 8. Developments: 2. Belarusian President Aleksandr Lukashenko has addressed both internal political stability and external border tensions. In September 2026, Lukashenko claimed that Belarus might have faced a situation similar to the invasion of Ukraine if he had stepped down during the 2020 political crisis. He asserted that Western powers attempted to separate Belarus from Russia during the protests following the 2020 election. By October 2026, tensions escalated at the border with Latvia. Following reports of an armed incursion involving masked individuals who allegedly attempted to force migrants across the border and damaged infrastructure, Lukashenko denied involvement. He characterized the incident as a “staged media stunt” by Latvia to secure European Union funding. Meanwhile, a group calling itself ‘Black Rus’ claimed responsibility for the action, describing it as a “trial phase” and threatening further incursions at other NATO border points. ## Timeline ### 2026-10-13: Lukashenko denies Latvian accusations of armed border incursion President Aleksandr Lukashenko denied Latvian claims of a Belarusian armed group incursion, calling the incident a staged stunt, while a group named ‘Black Rus’ claimed responsibility for the border breach. 5 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/lukashenko-denies-latvian-accusations-of-armed-border-incursion ### 2026-09-19: Lukashenko suggests Belarus could have faced Ukraine-style invasion in 2020 President Aleksandr Lukashenko stated that Belarus might have faced a Russian invasion similar to Ukraine if he had resigned during the 2020 political protests and distanced the country from Moscow. 3 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/lukashenko-claims-belarus-could-have-faced-ukraines-fate --- Cite as: Belarusian political and border security tensions. CLSTR, https://clstr.news/situations/belarusian-political-and-border-security-tensions