# Brazil food and commodity price trends > Live situation record from CLSTR: https://clstr.news/situations/brazil-food-and-commodity-price-trends > Updated: 2026-09-22T17:37:29.000Z. Sources: 33. Developments: 2. In Brazil, recent data indicates a trend of declining food costs in most major cities. In August 2026, the cost of the basic food basket decreased in 25 of the 27 state capitals, driven by lower prices for commodities such as tomatoes, potatoes, and powdered coffee. While annual costs for the food basket rose in many locations, monthly trends showed relief for consumers. Specific commodity reports highlight significant price drops in the coffee sector. Retail coffee prices fell across all categories compared to the previous year, with the most substantial decrease seen in ‘Traditional/Extra-strong coffee’ at 21.22%. Government officials have expressed optimism regarding food security, stating that El Niño is not expected to drive up food prices in 2026. Although a reduction in beef production is projected for 2027 due to livestock cycles, authorities expect increased supplies of chicken, pork, and eggs to maintain domestic price stability. By late September 2026, efforts to support the agricultural sector through debt restructuring have reached R$ 3.6 billion under Provisional Measure (MP) 1.376/26. Minister of Agrarian Development and Family Farming Fernanda Machiaveli noted that operations are expected to accelerate, having processed approximately 28.7 thousand operations to date. This represents roughly 12% of the R$ 25.8 billion authorized for the program. The measure targets producers who suffered losses between 2019 and 2025 due to adverse climate events or market price drops. However, the Confederation of Agriculture and Livestock of Brazil (CNA) reported that some producers continue to face bureaucratic hurdles and difficulties accessing these conditions at banks. Regarding climate risks, the National Water Agency (ANA) has activated preparation plans to manage water resources through 2027. ## Claims - The El Niño phenomenon has caused $95,065 million in losses to the livestock sector in Colombia between June 1 and September 21. (single source) - A total of 19,030 animals died during the reported period. (single source) - The phenomenon resulted in the displacement of 511,604 animals. (single source) - The El Niño impact could add between 60 and 70 basis points to inflation in Colombia in the coming months. (single source) - An extreme El Niño event could cause a decline of at least 2% in Latin America's GDP over three years. (single source) - El Niño could result in up to 4.8 million more people living in poverty in the region by the end of the decade. (single source) - El Niño temperatures generated a pressure equivalent to 0.64 percentage points on El Salvador's inflation. (single source) - NOAA projects a greater than 90% chance of a very strong El Niño event. (single source) ## Timeline ### 2026-09-22: El Niño threatens Latin American economies and agriculture El Niño is causing widespread economic disruption in Latin America, driving up inflation, threatening food security, and potentially reducing regional GDP by 2% while increasing poverty levels. 21 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/brazil-reports-falling-coffee-prices-and-food-price-stability ### 2026-09-08: Brazil cotton production and food basket price trends Brazil's cotton production is projected to hit 4.41 million tons due to record yields, while the cost of the basic food basket fell in 25 Brazilian capitals in August. 18 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/brazilian-cattle-market-sees-price-shifts-amid-china-export-speculation --- Cite as: Brazil food and commodity price trends. CLSTR, https://clstr.news/situations/brazil-food-and-commodity-price-trends