# Brazil sugar sector outlook 2026/27

> Live situation record from CLSTR: https://clstr.news/situations/brazil-sugar-sector-outlook-202627
> Updated: 2026-07-28T14:38:27.000Z. Sources: 8. Developments: 2.

In early July 2026, Brazil projected a 709‑million‑tonne sugarcane harvest for the 2026/27 season and cautioned growers about post‑harvest handling requirements.

Later that month, analysts at StoneX widened the expected global sugar deficit for 2026/27 to 1.7 million tonnes, citing poor beet yields in the European Union and below‑average rains in India and Thailand. The same report noted a 2.94‑million‑tonne surplus forecast for the previous year. Concurrently, Copersucar, the world’s largest sugar and ethanol trader, reported that many of its cane‑mill suppliers could not access Brazil’s Brazil Soberano credit programme because they lacked the required Export Declaration. The company has sought ministry intervention, while the programme, initially created to support exporters affected by U.S. tariffs, has been expanded to address additional trade pressures.

## Claims

- Copersucar reported that its supplying cane mills cannot access the Brazil Soberano credit programme because they lack the required Export Declaration. (corroborated by 3 sources)
- Copersucar posted revenue of R$ 65.8 billion and net profit of R$ 631 million for the 2025/26 season. (corroborated by 3 sources)
- Copersucar sold 17 million tonnes of sugar and 21 billion litres of ethanol worldwide during the 2025/26 season. (corroborated by 3 sources)
- The Brazil Soberano programme initially offered R$ 30 billion in credit, later expanded with R$ 21 billion and R$ 18.5 billion in subsequent versions. (corroborated by 3 sources)
- StoneX forecast a global sugar deficit of 1.7 million tonnes for the 2026/27 marketing year. (corroborated by 2 sources)
- StoneX increased its estimate of the global sugar surplus for 2025/26 to 2.94 million tonnes. (corroborated by 2 sources)
- Dry heat and reduced rainfall in the European Union have worsened beet development in France and southern Germany, contributing to the projected sugar deficit. (corroborated by 2 sources)
- Rainfall deficits in India and Thailand have further lowered the outlook for the 2026/27 sugar crop. (corroborated by 2 sources)

## Timeline

### 2026-07-28: Brazil sugar sector faces global deficit and credit program hurdles

StoneX forecasts a 1.7 Mt global sugar deficit for 2026/27; Copersucar says its cane‑mill suppliers are barred from Brazil Soberano credit, urging reforms.

8 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/brazil-sugar-sector-faces-global-deficit-and-credit-program-hurdles

### 2026-07-11: Brazil forecasts 709 mt sugarcane harvest 2026/27, warns on post‑harvest care

Conab projects Brazil’s 2026/27 sugarcane crop at 709 million tonnes, 5 % above last year, and experts say post‑harvest soqueira management is vital for future yields and Brazil’s global sugar‑ethanol position.

3 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/brazil-forecasts-709-mt-sugarcane-harvest-202627-warns-on-postharvest-care

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Cite as: Brazil sugar sector outlook 2026/27. CLSTR, https://clstr.news/situations/brazil-sugar-sector-outlook-202627