# Climate research on global temperature projections

> Live situation record from CLSTR: https://clstr.news/situations/climate-research-on-global-temperature-projections
> Updated: 2026-10-03T03:41:09.000Z. Sources: 9. Developments: 2.

Research from ETH Zürich and the University of Leipzig indicates that global temperatures could rise by approximately 3.25 degrees Celsius by 2100 under current climate policies. The study suggests that warming could be 25 percent more severe than previous estimates due to the intensity and speed of future warming.

By incorporating satellite measurements of Earth’s energy imbalance—the difference between incoming solar energy and heat radiated back into space—alongside natural climate variability, researchers found that critical warming thresholds may be reached sooner than earlier models predicted. 

The findings highlight significant risks for Switzerland, which is warming faster than the global average. In a scenario involving a 3-degree global temperature increase, Switzerland could see a local rise of approximately 4.9 degrees Celsius.

## Timeline

### 2026-10-03: Climate research suggests warming could be 25 percent more severe

Research from ETH Zurich and the University of Leipzig suggests future global warming could be 25 percent more severe than previously estimated, with Switzerland facing disproportionately high temperature rises

3 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/climate-research-suggests-warming-could-be-25-percent-more-severe

### 2026-09-22: Global temperatures could rise 3.25°C by 2100, study finds

A study by ETH Zürich and the University of Leipzig warns that global temperatures could rise by 3.25°C by 2100, potentially occurring faster than previous models predicted.

6 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/global-temperatures-could-rise-325c-by-2100-study-finds

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Cite as: Climate research on global temperature projections. CLSTR, https://clstr.news/situations/climate-research-on-global-temperature-projections