# Donald Trump and GOP polling trends

> Live situation record from CLSTR: https://clstr.news/situations/donald-trump-and-gop-polling-trends
> Updated: 2026-08-09T05:52:15.000Z. Sources: 9. Developments: 2.

Recent polling indicates a decline in support for Donald Trump and the Republican Party across key voter demographics and policy sectors.

Data shows a significant shift among non-college voters, a group previously central to the MAGA coalition. While this demographic favored Trump by eight points in October 2024, recent surveys indicate a 22-point deficit.

Additionally, traditional Republican leads in national security and the economy have eroded. On national security, polls show Democrats and Republicans nearly tied. In the economic sector, Democrats have gained a notable advantage, with recent data showing them leading Republicans by nine points, marking a significant shift from previous trends.

## Timeline

### 2026-08-09: Donald Trump loses traditional GOP leads in economy and security

Recent polls show Donald Trump losing traditional Republican advantages in national security and the economy, with Democrats now nearing parity or leading in both categories.

8 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/donald-trump-loses-traditional-gop-leads-in-economy-and-security

### 2026-08-07: Donald Trump loses support among non‑college voters, data shows

Harry Enten reports a Marquette survey showing non‑college voters have swung from an 8‑point lead for Donald Trump in Oct 2024 to a 22‑point deficit, hurting Republicans ahead of the midterms.

2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/donald-trump-loses-support-among-noncollege-voters-data-shows

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Cite as: Donald Trump and GOP polling trends. CLSTR, https://clstr.news/situations/donald-trump-and-gop-polling-trends