# Dutch political polling trends

> Live situation record from CLSTR: https://clstr.news/situations/dutch-political-polling-trends
> Updated: 2026-08-02T06:40:10.000Z. Sources: 2. Developments: 2.

In mid‑July 2026, an Ipsos I&O poll showed the Jetten cabinet’s public satisfaction rising modestly from 19 % to 26 % after five months in office, with strong approval among D66 supporters and modest gains for the party’s projected seat count. The improvement was attributed to progress on nitrogen‑reduction measures and a firm asylum stance.

A few weeks later, a separate poll projecting the 2025 parliamentary election painted a different picture. The Party for the Animals (PRO) was forecast to become the largest party with 24 seats, while Forum for Democracy (FVD) and the right‑wing JA21 each surged to 18 seats, tying with D66, PVV and others for second place. The governing VVD slipped to sixth place, losing seats mainly to JA21, and the CDA fell to seventh. Voter‑flow analysis highlighted a shift of former VVD and CDA voters toward newer right‑wing options, underscoring a volatile electorate despite the earlier modest boost in cabinet approval.

## Timeline

### 2026-08-02: Dutch poll shows PRO leading, FVD and JA21 surge to second place

PRO leads with 24 seats; FVD, D66, PVV and JA21 each at 18, sharing second place. VVD drops to sixth, CDA to seventh, with vote shifts to JA21 and FVD. Coalition confidence wanes.

2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/dutch-poll-shows-pro-leading-fvd-and-ja21-surge-to-second-place

### 2026-07-15: Dutch cabinet Jetten sees modest rise in public support, D66 gains seats

Ipsos poll finds Dutch cabinet Jetten’s approval climbs to 26% from 19%, with D66 projected to gain seats to 23, amid rising support for its nitrogen and asylum policies.

2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/dutch-cabinet-jetten-sees-modest-rise-in-public-support-d66-gains-seats

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Cite as: Dutch political polling trends. CLSTR, https://clstr.news/situations/dutch-political-polling-trends