# El Niño winter weather forecasts for the southern US

> Live situation record from CLSTR: https://clstr.news/situations/el-nio-winter-weather-forecasts-for-the-southern-us
> Updated: 2026-09-29T18:29:14.000Z. Sources: 9. Developments: 2.

Meteorologists are forecasting a potentially cold and wet winter season for parts of the southern United States, driven by the development of El Niño. 

Initial warnings focused on Texas, where National Weather Service meteorologist Mack Moore indicated that a strong El Niño could lead to cooler and wetter-than-normal weather. Data from the Climate Prediction Center suggested a greater than 90% chance of these conditions persisting into the upcoming months. 

Subsequent forecasts extended these concerns to Southwest Louisiana. The Farmers’ Almanac predicted a season of “snow, sleet and surprises,” noting that an active storm track could extend from the Desert Southwest through Texas and the Gulf Coast. While agencies like NOAA monitor these broad patterns, they maintain that seasonal outlooks cannot predict specific daily weather events.

## Timeline

### 2026-09-29: Southwest Louisiana faces forecast of cold, wet winter

Weather forecasts, including predictions from the Farmers' Almanac, suggest Southwest Louisiana may experience a wetter-than-normal winter influenced by El Niño.

7 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/southwest-louisiana-faces-forecast-of-cold-wet-winter

### 2026-09-25: Texas faces potential for cold, wet winter due to El Niño

Meteorologists warn that a strong El Niño could bring a colder and wetter-than-normal winter to Texas, with a 90% chance of the climate pattern continuing into the coming months.

3 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/texas-faces-potential-for-cold-wet-winter-due-to-el-nio

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Cite as: El Niño winter weather forecasts for the southern US. CLSTR, https://clstr.news/situations/el-nio-winter-weather-forecasts-for-the-southern-us