# Leão maintains lead in DF polls amid infrastructure pledges

> Live situation record from CLSTR: https://clstr.news/situations/federal-district-governor-celina-leo-developments
> Updated: 2026-08-26T15:06:07.000Z. Sources: 95. Developments: 21.

Governor Celina Leão continues to lead the race for the Distrito Federal governorship, though polling shows varying margins. While recent Datafolha data indicated a technical tie between Leão (30%) and José Roberto Arruda (28%), a new Genial/Quaest poll shows Leão holding 34% of voting intentions in a stimulated first-round scenario. In this poll, Arruda follows with 20%, while Leandro Grass holds between 11% and 13%. Notably, the survey highlights high levels of voter uncertainty, with 14% undecided in the stimulated scenario and 63% undecided in the spontaneous scenario.

Leão’s campaign has increasingly focused on infrastructure and public services. She has proposed the construction of Metro-DF Line 2, a project estimated at R$ 13 billion intended to serve regions including Gama, Santa Maria, and Recanto das Emas. Additionally, she noted plans to acquire 15 new trains to expand the existing fleet. 

In the education sector, the Governor announced the appointment of approximately 2,681 permanent teachers for early childhood education. This move aims to replace temporary contracts to ensure service continuity while maintaining current public expenditure levels.

Her administration continues to manage a complex political landscape. While the União Progressista federation confirmed her candidacy, negotiations regarding Senate slots remain ongoing, with the MDB and Podemos maintaining specific conditions for their support. Meanwhile, her government continues to face scrutiny over controversial legislation regarding the involuntary hospitalization of homeless individuals and challenges within the public health system.

## Claims

- Eduardo Paes leads the Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race with 37% of the vote intention. (disputed by 3 sources)
- Celina Leão holds 30% of voting intentions for the Federal District, while José Roberto Arruda has 28%. (disputed)
- Celina Leão leads the Federal District gubernatorial race with 33.9% in a stimulated scenario. (disputed)
- José Roberto Arruda is in second place for the Distrito Federal governorship with 24.1% of the vote intention. (disputed)
- Lucas Ribeiro leads the Paraíba gubernatorial race with 38% of the vote intention. (corroborated by 8 sources)
- Cícero Lucena is in second place for the Paraíba governorship with 19% of the vote intention. (corroborated by 8 sources)
- Efraim Filho is in third place for the Paraíba governorship with 18% of the vote intention. (corroborated by 8 sources)
- Roseana Sarney leads Senate voting intentions in Maranhão with 16%. (corroborated by 5 sources)
- Alexandre Curi leads the race for the two Senate seats in Paraná with 15%. (corroborated by 4 sources)
- Eduardo Braide leads the Maranhão gubernatorial race with 44%. (corroborated by 4 sources)
- Senator Sergio Moro leads the Paraná gubernatorial race with 37% in the first round. (corroborated by 3 sources)
- Approximately R$ 35 million is planned for infrastructure and mobility investments in Taguatinga. (corroborated by 3 sources)

## Timeline

### 2026-08-26: Celina Leão leads Federal District gubernatorial race in latest polls

Governor Celina Leão leads the Federal District gubernatorial race with 34% in recent polling, amid campaign promises for metro expansion and the appointment of over 2,600 permanent teachers.

8 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/celina-leo-leads-federal-district-polls-and-proposes-metro-expansion

### 2026-08-23: Brazil political polls show regional leaders in various state elections

Recent Brazilian political polls show Lucas Ribeiro leading in Paraíba, Celina Leão leading in Distrito Federal, and various other regional leaders emerging in Maranhão, Minas Gerais, and Paraná.

56 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/celina-leo-leads-federal-district-gubernatorial-poll-with-339

### 2026-08-01: Brazil's Progressistas Party Stays Neutral as Celina Leão Secures Re‑election Bid

Brazil's Progressistas Party opts for neutrality in the presidential race, while the União Progressista federation backs Governor Celina Leão for re‑election in the Distrito Federal.

2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/brazils-progressistas-party-stays-neutral-as-celina-leo-secures-reelection-bid

### 2026-07-31: Brazilian parties endorse Senate candidates Gustavo Mendanha and Celina Leão amid nomination impasses

Mobiliza backs Gustavo Mendanha for a Goiás Senate seat; MDB, Podemos and PSD‑Avante in the Federal District leave Senate nominations unsettled, supporting Celina Leão while keeping other slots open.

2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/brazilian-parties-endorse-senate-candidates-gustavo-mendanha-and-celina-leo-amid-nomination-impasses

### 2026-07-27: Brazil's Distrito Federal Governor Celina Leão Gives Senate Slot to MDB

Gov. Celina Leão (PP) of Brazil's Distrito Federal allocates a Senate slot to the MDB, naming Rafael Prudente as its frontrunner, ending intra‑alliance tensions ahead of the 2026 elections.

5 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/brazils-distrito-federal-governor-celina-leo-gives-senate-slot-to-mdb

### 2026-07-24: Brazil's Distrito Federal gubernatorial race gains momentum

In Brazil's Distrito Federal, ex‑deputy Cristiano Araújo is building his 2026 campaign around Taguatinga, while polls show PP's Celina Leão leading the gubernatorial race ahead of ex‑governor José Roberto Arrda

2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/brazils-distrito-federal-gubernatorial-race-gains-momentum

### 2026-07-17: Governor Celina Leão launches DF re‑election bid amid health contract controversy

Governor Celina Leão launched her DF re‑election bid on July 18, naming Gustavo Rocha as running mate, urging Michelle Bolsonaro to run for Senate, and facing criticism for classist remarks and terminating a pa

19 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/governor-celina-leos-controversial-vote-remarks-and-police-volunteer-quota-expansion

### 2026-07-15: Governor Celina Leão pushes health reforms in Brazil's Federal District

Governor Celina Leão redirected funds to health, launched private‑provider contracts and cut surgery wait times in Brazil's Federal District, but critics cite rising deaths and systemic failures.

5 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/governor-celina-leo-pushes-health-reforms-in-brazils-federal-district

### 2026-07-13: Governors Roberto Cidade and Celina Leão boost school construction across Brazil

Brazilian governors Roberto Cidade and Celina Leão inspected school renovations and announced new education projects, including 27 indigenous schools in Amazonas and an early‑childhood centre in the Federal DC.

6 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/governors-roberto-cidade-and-celina-leo-boost-school-construction-across-brazil

### 2026-07-03: Governor Celina Leão unveils renovated Augustinho Lima Stadium in Sobradinho

Governor Celina Leão opened the R$ 6.5 million renovated Augustinho Lima Stadium in Sobradinho, adding a synthetic field, modern track and night lighting, benefiting local sports and youth.

2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/governor-celina-leo-unveils-renovated-augustinho-lima-stadium-in-sobradinho

### 2026-07-03: Gov. Celina Leão announces new protected areas, health hires and infrastructure projects in Brazil's Distrito Federal

Gov. Celina Leão of Brazil's Distrito Federal created two protected areas, hired 709 health staff, expanded Cathedral partnership with a cultural gallery, launched DF+Digital, opened a road duplication, and rat

4 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/governor-celina-leo-expands-volunteer-police-service-and-rolls-out-security-and-infrastructure-proje

### 2026-06-26: Fercal to Get First Public Creche after Gov. Celina Leão Signs Partnership

Brazil’s Distrito Federal governor signed a deal with cement firms to build Fercal’s first public nursery, funded privately and tied to new road works and community‑center upgrades.

2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/fercal-to-get-first-public-creche-after-gov-celina-leo-signs-partnership

### 2026-06-26: Governor Celina Leão opens DF-205 paving and replaces water penalties in Fercal

Governor Celina Leão opened a new paved stretch of DF‑205 in Fercal and, alongside Caesb, replaced water‑connection fines for 2,000+ families with warnings and flexible payment options.

14 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/df-replaces-water-fines-with-warnings-strengthens-electricity-oversight

### 2026-06-26: Brazil's Federal District appoints new Women's Rights Council members

Governor Celina Leão appointed 26 new members to Brazil's Federal District Women's Rights Council, emphasizing gender‑based violence prevention and inclusive representation.

2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/brazils-federal-district-appoints-new-womens-rights-council-members

### 2026-06-21: Governor Celina Leão unveils R$38 million plan for Plano Piloto

Governor Celina Leão launched the 8th edition of GDF na Sua Porta, approving R$38 million for road, sidewalk, drainage, park and lighting upgrades in Brasília's Plano Piloto.

2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/governor-celina-leo-unveils-r38-million-plan-for-plano-piloto

### 2026-06-19: Governor Celina Leão unveils sports field upgrades and new creative tech hub in Brazil's capital

Governor Celina Leão opened renovated synthetic fields in Taguatinga and Samambaia and announced a partnership with Fecomércio to build a Creative Tech Hub in Brasília's South Commercial Sector.

4 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/governor-celina-leo-unveils-sports-field-upgrades-and-authorizes-new-administrative-regions-in-brazi

### 2026-06-18: Brazil's DF Governor Celina Leão faces hospitalisation and controversial mental‑health bill

DF Governor Celina Leão faces criticism over a proposed involuntary hospitalization bill and was twice hospitalized in June, first for pneumothorax and then for sinusitis.

2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/brazils-df-governor-celina-leo-faces-hospitalisation-and-controversial-mentalhealth-bill

### 2026-06-16: Governor Celina Leão moves DF homeless shelter amid controversy over involuntary admission bill

Gov. Celina Leão relocates DF's Centro Pop shelter and proposes a bill allowing involuntary admission of homeless people, sparking criticism for violating mental‑health reforms and human‑rights standards.

2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/governor-celina-leo-moves-df-homeless-shelter-amid-controversy-over-involuntary-admission-bill

### 2026-06-14: Brasília Governor Celina Leão Unveils Park Upgrades and Pirarucu Fishing Limits

Gov. Celina Leão approved park upgrades in Águas Claras and restricted pirarucu fishing in Lake Paranoá to professional fishers, adding monitoring and security measures.

2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/braslia-governor-celina-leo-unveils-park-upgrades-and-pirarucu-fishing-limits

### 2026-06-12: Gov. Celina Leão rolls out housing aid and inaugurates Distrito Federal Ginger Day

Governor Celina Leão in Brazil's Distrito Federal introduced a construction‑material aid for fire‑displaced families and signed a law creating a yearly Ginger Day to honor the region’s growing ginger industry.

2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/gov-celina-leo-rolls-out-housing-aid-and-inaugurates-distrito-federal-ginger-day

### 2026-05-15: Governor Celina Leão champions sanitation leadership and school family festival in Brasília

Gov. Celina Leão highlighted DF’s sanitation success and attended a school family festival promoting education, peace and women’s entrepreneurship.

2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/governor-celina-leo-champions-sanitation-leadership-and-school-family-festival-in-braslia

---
Cite as: Leão maintains lead in DF polls amid infrastructure pledges. CLSTR, https://clstr.news/situations/federal-district-governor-celina-leo-developments
