# Global glacier extinction modeling and projections > Live situation record from CLSTR: https://clstr.news/situations/global-glacier-extinction-modeling-and-projections > Updated: 2026-09-30T04:28:16.000Z. Sources: 7. Developments: 2. Researchers from ETH Zurich and Vrije Universiteit Brussel have launched the Global Glacier Extinction Explorer, an interactive mapping tool designed to project the disappearance of over 200,000 glaciers worldwide. Based on a study in Nature Climate Change, the platform uses glaciological models to simulate glacier loss under four warming scenarios: 1.5 °C, 2 °C, 2.7 °C, and 4 °C. The tool identifies a ‘peak of glacier extinction,’ which is the point when the annual number of disappearing glaciers reaches its highest level. Under a 1.5 °C warming scenario, this peak could see approximately 2,000 glaciers vanish in a single year, potentially around 2041. If warming reaches 4 °C, the annual loss could exceed 4,000 glaciers. In the European Alps, small glaciers are particularly sensitive, with critical loss periods estimated between the 2030s and 2040s. Recent observations confirm accelerating trends, such as the official extinction of the Bella Tola glacier near Saint-Luc, Switzerland, in August, following the loss of the Urirotstock glacier. Scientists emphasize that these extinctions are often the result of decades of cumulative mass loss driven by limited snowfall and intense summer melting. ## Timeline ### 2026-09-30: Global Glacier Extinction Explorer map tracks projected ice loss A new interactive map, the Global Glacier Extinction Explorer, tracks the projected disappearance of the world's glaciers based on varying global warming scenarios. 2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/global-glacier-extinction-explorer-map-tracks-projected-ice-loss ### 2026-09-18: Global Glacier Extinction Explorer maps future of 200,000 glaciers A new interactive map, the Global Glacier Extinction Explorer, uses scientific models to project when 200,000+ glaciers could vanish under different global warming scenarios. 5 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/global-glacier-extinction-explorer-map-projects-glacier-loss --- Cite as: Global glacier extinction modeling and projections. CLSTR, https://clstr.news/situations/global-glacier-extinction-modeling-and-projections