# Global oil volatility and aviation industry impact

> Live situation record from CLSTR: https://clstr.news/situations/global-oil-volatility-and-aviation-industry-impact
> Updated: 2026-09-28T14:03:44.000Z. Sources: 6. Developments: 2.

Global oil market volatility and rising kerosene prices are creating significant economic pressure on the aviation industry. Following the start of conflict in Iran in February 2026, oil prices rose from US$65 a barrel to over $100 a barrel by mid-September. Supply constraints have been exacerbated by reduced traffic through the Strait of Hormuz and attacks on Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline.

These energy market shifts have caused jet fuel prices to double compared to the previous year, with fuel costs projected to represent between 40% and 45% of airline operating expenses. This surge is driving up ticket prices and threatening the business models of carriers, particularly low-cost airlines.

Despite these challenges, some companies are pursuing long-term resiliency. Alaska Air Group is proceeding with international expansion using Boeing 787 Dreamliners, while seeking alternative options such as sustainable aviation fuel to mitigate high costs.

## Timeline

### 2026-09-28: Global oil price volatility impacts energy markets and aviation expansion

Rising oil prices and Middle East supply disruptions are straining global markets, even as Alaska Air Group moves forward with international expansion despite increased fuel costs.

4 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/global-oil-price-volatility-impacts-energy-markets-and-aviation-expansion

### 2026-09-26: Rising kerosene prices impact aviation industry and travel costs

Surging kerosene prices, which have doubled year-over-year, are driving up airfares and threatening airline profit margins and flight schedules.

2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/rising-kerosene-prices-impact-aviation-industry-and-travel-costs

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Cite as: Global oil volatility and aviation industry impact. CLSTR, https://clstr.news/situations/global-oil-volatility-and-aviation-industry-impact