# Tropical Storm Vance threatens Mexico's Pacific coast

> Live situation record from CLSTR: https://clstr.news/situations/hurricane-vance-development-in-the-pacific-ocean
> Updated: 2026-10-25T16:57:02.000Z. Sources: 108. Developments: 4.

Tropical Storm Vance, which weakened from a Category 2 hurricane, continues to pose a significant threat to Mexico’s southwest Pacific coast. As of October 25, the storm is moving northwest at speeds between 7 and 11 km/h, though the National Hurricane Center reports it may turn toward the north later this week. The system is currently losing intensity due to wind shear and dry air.

The storm's center was located approximately 455 km south of Manzanillo, Colima, and 510 km west-southwest of Acapulco, Guerrero. Sustained winds are reported at approximately 110 km/h, with gusts reaching up to 140 km/h.

Heavy rainfall is expected to trigger flash flooding and mudslides across Colima, Michoacán, Jalisco, Guerrero, Nayarit, Sinaloa, and Durango. While most areas expect 5 to 10 centimeters of rain, isolated totals in vulnerable mountainous regions could reach up to 17 or 18 centimeters.

Coastal risks include dangerous sea conditions. Wave heights are projected to reach 4 to 5 meters in Michoacán and Guerrero, and 2 to 3 meters in Colima and Jalisco. 

In response, Mexico's National Civil Protection Coordination (CNPC) has deployed a Liaison and Coordination Mission (ECO) to command posts in Michoacán, Colima, Jalisco, Nayarit, and Sinaloa to coordinate preventive actions with local authorities. Residents in vulnerable areas have been advised to avoid crossing flooded rivers and to remain alert to rising water levels.

## Claims

- The hurricane has maximum sustained winds of 165 km/h and gusts of 205 km/h. (disputed by 14 sources)
- The hurricane's center was located 685 km south-southwest of Acapulco, Guerrero. (disputed by 13 sources)
- Vance has maximum sustained winds of 110 km/h and gusts up to 140 km/h. (disputed by 9 sources)
- The hurricane's center was located approximately 540 to 560 km southwest of Acapulco on Saturday. (disputed by 6 sources)
- Vance was located 719 km south-southwest of Acapulco, Guerrero. (disputed by 2 sources)
- No coastal watches or warnings have been issued at this time. (disputed by 2 sources)
- Semar ordered the closure of the ports of Acapulco and Puerto Marqués in Guerrero. (disputed by 2 sources)
- Vance is forecasted to potentially reach Category 3 status by Saturday. (corroborated by 23 sources)
- Hurricane Vance reached Category 2 status on Friday, October 23, 2026. (corroborated by 21 sources)
- Vance is expected to bring heavy rainfall to Michoacán and Guerrero, and showers to Oaxaca. (corroborated by 20 sources)
- Tropical Storm Vance weakened from a Category 1 hurricane to a tropical storm. (corroborated by 14 sources)
- Hurricane Vance intensified to Category 1 on the Saffir-Simpson scale. (corroborated by 12 sources)

## Timeline

### 2026-10-25: Tropical Storm Vance threatens Mexico with heavy rain and flooding

Tropical Storm Vance threatens Mexico with heavy rains, potential flooding, and high surf, prompting the deployment of a national coordination mission across five Pacific states.

32 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/hurricane-vance-weakens-to-category-1-off-mexicos-pacific-coast

### 2026-10-23: Hurricane Vance weakens to Category 1 off Mexico's Pacific coast

Hurricane Vance has weakened to Category 1 off Mexico's Pacific coast. It is bringing heavy rain and high waves to Guerrero, Michoacán, and Colima, prompting port closures in Acapulco.

58 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/hurricane-vance-strengthens-to-category-1-in-the-pacific-ocean

### 2026-10-23: Mexico weather: Cold front 3 and Hurricane Vance trigger heavy rains

Cold front 3 and Hurricane Vance are bringing heavy rains, strong winds, and temperature drops to Mexico, with Chihuahua facing the most intense precipitation and potential whirlwinds.

24 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/cold-front-3-brings-rain-and-wind-to-northern-mexico

### 2026-10-21: Tropical Storm Vance forms in the Pacific, projected to become a Category 3 hurricane

Tropical Storm Vance has formed in the Pacific and is projected to intensify into a Category 3 hurricane by Saturday, potentially causing heavy rain and high surf along Mexico's southern and western coasts.

41 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/tropical-depression-22-e-forms-in-the-pacific-near-mexico

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Cite as: Tropical Storm Vance threatens Mexico's Pacific coast. CLSTR, https://clstr.news/situations/hurricane-vance-development-in-the-pacific-ocean
