# IMF Asia-Pacific economic growth projections

> Live situation record from CLSTR: https://clstr.news/situations/imf-asia-pacific-economic-growth-projections
> Updated: 2026-10-20T03:50:47.000Z. Sources: 5. Developments: 2.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) reports that the Asia-Pacific region is positioned to lead global economic growth, even as it faces risks from geopolitical tensions and energy shocks. The region’s energy intensity is noted to be approximately 4% of its GDP, nearly double the rate of the European Union.

Specific regional outlooks include Timor-Leste, where the IMF is supporting the modernization of monetary, financial, and fiscal frameworks following its 2025 accession to ASEAN. Projections for Timor-Leste suggest GDP growth of 4.5% in 2025, 4% in 2026, and 3.7% in 2027, though the country faces fiscal sustainability and current account deficit challenges.

In Hong Kong, officials suggest growth may exceed the IMF’s 3.8% forecast, despite headwinds such as trade frictions and inflation. Meanwhile, Bhutan is expected to see real GDP growth moderate from 8.2% in 2025 to approximately 6.9% by 2027, alongside rising consumer price inflation and a widening current account deficit.

## Timeline

### 2026-10-20: IMF forecasts strong economic growth for Hong Kong and Bhutan

The IMF projects strong economic growth for Hong Kong and Bhutan, though both face challenges like inflation and geopolitical tensions.

2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/imf-forecasts-strong-economic-growth-for-hong-kong-and-bhutan

### 2026-10-15: IMF: Asia-Pacific to lead global growth despite energy and geopolitical risks

The IMF predicts Asia-Pacific will lead global growth and is supporting economic reforms in Timor-Leste following its recent accession to ASEAN.

3 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/imf-asia-pacific-to-lead-global-growth-despite-energy-and-geopolitical-risks

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Cite as: IMF Asia-Pacific economic growth projections. CLSTR, https://clstr.news/situations/imf-asia-pacific-economic-growth-projections
