# India quick commerce market growth projections

> Developing situation record from CLSTR: https://clstr.news/situations/india-quick-commerce-market-growth-projections
> Updated: 2026-10-11T09:44:23.000Z. Sources: 16. Developments: 3.

Reports indicate significant growth projections for India’s quick commerce market, which is expected to reach a valuation between $70 billion and $90 billion by 2031. This represents a substantial increase from the $13 billion valuation anticipated for 2026.

Growth is expected to be driven by both metro and non-metro markets. Metro markets are projected to account for approximately 60% of total growth, with platforms expanding into non-grocery categories and bulk purchases. Non-metro markets are expected to contribute roughly 40% of growth, with monthly transacting users potentially rising from 12–16 million to between 55 million and 60 million.

Recent analysis from Emkay suggests the sector is poised for accelerated growth, with net order value (NOV) expected to rise by as much as 21.6 per cent quarter-on-quarter in Q2FY27. This acceleration is attributed to industry consolidation, higher minimum order values, and reduced discounts. 

In comparison, the food delivery segment is projected to maintain steady momentum with an expected year-on-year growth of approximately 18 per cent in order value, amid anticipated intensification of competition during the festive season. Additionally, the implementation of a 0.4 per cent merchant discount rate (MDR) on UPI transactions, effective October 15, is noted as a critical factor for the sector.

## Timeline

### 2026-10-11: India quick commerce growth expected to accelerate

India's quick commerce sector is expected to see accelerated growth of up to 21.6% quarter-on-quarter, while food delivery maintains steady 18% year-on-year growth, according to an Emkay report.

7 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/india-quick-commerce-growth-expected-to-accelerate

### 2026-10-08: India quick commerce market projected to reach $90 billion by 2031

India’s quick commerce market is projected to grow from $13 billion in 2026 to as much as $90 billion by 2031, driven by expansion in metro and non-metro regions.

2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/india-quick-commerce-market-projected-to-reach-90-billion-by-2031

### 2026-09-27: India consumer durables market projected to reach ₹3.25 lakh crore by 2030

India's consumer durables market is expected to grow 8-10% annually, reaching ₹3-3.25 lakh crore by 2030, driven by rising incomes and premiumization, according to a BCG and CII report.

9 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/india-consumer-durables-market-projected-to-reach-325-lakh-crore-by-2030

---
Cite as: India quick commerce market growth projections. CLSTR, https://clstr.news/situations/india-quick-commerce-market-growth-projections