# Mexico 2026-2027 cold front season forecast

> Live situation record from CLSTR: https://clstr.news/situations/mexico-2026-2027-cold-front-season-forecast
> Updated: 2026-09-13T14:11:00.000Z. Sources: 12. Developments: 2.

Mexico is preparing for the 2026-2027 cold front season, which is expected to span from September 2026 through May 2027. Initial forecasts anticipated between 50 and 58 frontal systems, with potential influence from El Niño reaching high intensity between December 2026 and January 2027.

Subsequent updates from the National Water Commission (Conagua) and the National Meteorological Service (SMN) have refined this forecast to 56 cold fronts, a figure that exceeds the climatological average of 50 recorded between 1990 and 2020. The season is expected to be influenced by the warm phase of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), with peak intensity predicted toward the end of the year. 

January is expected to be the month with the highest frequency of these phenomena. Experts also anticipate an increase in ‘Norte’ wind events, which may lead to intensified winds, higher waves, and increased precipitation in coastal areas of the Gulf of Mexico.

## Timeline

### 2026-09-13: Mexico forecasts 56 cold fronts for 2026-2027 season

Mexico's Conagua forecasts 56 cold fronts for the 2026-2027 season, exceeding historical averages due to the influence of a strong El Niño phenomenon.

2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/mexico-forecasts-56-cold-fronts-for-2026-2027-season

### 2026-08-25: Mexico prepares for 2026-2027 cold front season and regional economic shifts

Mexico prepares for the 2026-2027 cold front season while regional labor markets in Coahuila and Yucatán show varying trends in formal employment opportunities.

10 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/mexico-cold-front-season-expected-to-begin-in-september

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Cite as: Mexico 2026-2027 cold front season forecast. CLSTR, https://clstr.news/situations/mexico-2026-2027-cold-front-season-forecast