# Mexico violent crime decline continues amid regional spikes > Live situation record from CLSTR: https://clstr.news/situations/mexico-violent-crime-decline > Updated: 2026-09-10T11:54:03.000Z. Sources: 209. Developments: 19. The downward trajectory in violent crime persisted through mid‑2026, driven by the four‑pillar National Security Strategy. President Claudia Sheinbaum and Marcela Figueroa, head of the Secretariado Ejecutivo del Sistema Nacional de Seguridad Pública (SESNIP), reported a 51% reduction in the daily average of intentional homicides between September 2024 and July 2026. By August 2026, the national Security Cabinet reported a record low of only 20 homicides in a single day. Year-to-date figures for 2026 show 11,201 homicides from January to August, a 39% decrease compared to the 18,333 cases recorded during the same period in 2025. However, the decline is subject to debate. Opposition leaders, such as Senator Ricardo Anaya, have suggested potential statistical manipulation, while security experts suggest the reduction may stem from government action, changes in recording methods, or the reorganization of criminal groups. Regional volatility remains, with Guanajuato, Baja California, and Chihuahua among the states with the highest homicide concentrations. Data from the 2026 National Survey of Victimization and Perception of Public Security (ENVIPE) released by INEGI underscores a massive gap in the justice system. The survey reveals a 93.4% ‘hidden figure’ of crimes that are either not reported or not investigated. Of the estimated 33.8 million crimes in 2025, only 9% were reported to authorities. Among those reported, only 16% resulted in a positive outcome for the victim, meaning only 1.1% of total crimes reached a successful resolution. Furthermore, 77.6% of investigations reached no conclusion. Perceptions of insecurity vary by region; 74% of adults perceive insecurity nationally. The highest levels are reported in the State of Mexico (90%) and Morelos (88.7%), while Coahuila (27.8%) and Yucatán (35.5%) report the lowest. ## Claims - Seven Mexican states—Guanajuato, Baja California, Chihuahua, Sinaloa, Estado de México, Guerrero, and Morelos—account for 49% of intentional homicides. (disputed by 12 sources) - Six states accounted for 45.2% of July 2026 homicides: Chihuahua 104, Sinaloa 99, Guanajuato 95, Baja California 91, Estado de México 85, Michoacán 74. (disputed by 2 sources) - The 2026 ENVIPE survey results were released by INEGI. (corroborated by 19 sources) - The daily average of intentional homicides in Mexico decreased by 51 percent between September 2024 and July 2026. (corroborated by 18 sources) - Nationwide, 74% of the population aged 18 and older perceives insecurity in Mexico. (corroborated by 14 sources) - 93.4% of crimes in Mexico were not reported or investigated. (corroborated by 10 sources) - The national homicide rate fell to 21.4 per 100,000 inhabitants in 2025. (corroborated by 8 sources) - Coahuila has the highest percentage of people who consider living in the state safe, at 71.5%. (corroborated by 5 sources) - Only 27.8% of residents in Coahuila consider living in the state to be unsafe. (corroborated by 5 sources) - Guanajuato reported a 76% reduction in its daily average of intentional homicides compared to February 2025. (corroborated by 4 sources) ## Timeline ### 2026-09-10: Mexico security report shows high impunity and varying regional safety levels INEGI's 2026 ENVIPE survey shows only 1.1% of crimes in Mexico reached a positive resolution in 2025, highlighting high impunity and a 93.4% non-reporting or non-investigation rate. 33 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/mexico-security-survey-coahuila-leads-in-safety-while-morelos-reports-high-insecurity ### 2026-09-09: Mexico homicide rates drop amid Sinaloa Cartel reorganization Mexico's daily homicide rate fell by 53% between September 2024 and August, amid a reorganization of drug cartels and internal disputes within the Sinaloa Cartel. 2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/mexico-homicide-rates-drop-amid-sinaloa-cartel-reorganization ### 2026-09-08: Guerrero reports 33.4% decrease in daily intentional homicides Guerrero reported a 33.44% decrease in the daily average of intentional homicides from January to August 2026 compared to the previous year. 3 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/guerrero-reports-334-decrease-in-daily-intentional-homicides ### 2026-09-08: Guanajuato leads Mexico in intentional homicide rates Guanajuato leads Mexico in intentional homicides from January to August, representing 8.5 percent of the national total, followed by Baja California and Chihuahua. 3 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/guanajuato-leads-mexico-in-intentional-homicide-rates ### 2026-08-30: Mexico reports 268 homicides in final week of August Mexico saw 268 homicides in the last week of August 2026, with Guanajuato and Sinaloa leading. President Sheinbaum reported a 51% overall reduction in intentional homicides during her administration. 11 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/mexico-homicide-rates-show-downward-trend-despite-regional-violence ### 2026-08-25: State of Mexico municipalities report significant crime reductions Municipalities in the State of Mexico, including Texcoco and Toluca, report significant drops in crime, including major reductions in homicide and vehicle theft through coordinated security efforts. 4 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/state-of-mexico-municipalities-report-significant-crime-reductions ### 2026-08-24: Mexico extortion trends show rising reports despite government claims of decline Mexico faces conflicting extortion data: the government reports a 38% drop in completed crimes, but reported attempts have surged, with Coparmex noting the highest victim numbers in 11 years. 2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/mexico-extortion-trends-show-rising-reports-despite-government-claims-of-decline ### 2026-08-22: Mexico reports significant drop in homicides amid regional crime enforcement Mexico reports a 30.1% national drop in homicides for early 2026, even as regional crime persists through drug seizures in Michoacán and vehicle thefts in Chihuahua. 32 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/morelos-reports-rise-in-pet-kidnapping-and-extortion ### 2026-08-19: Crime rates decline in Morelos and San Mateo Atenco High-impact crimes are declining in parts of Mexico, with Morelos reporting a 51% drop in homicides and San Mateo Atenco seeing a 25% reduction in major offenses. 4 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/crime-rates-decline-in-morelos-and-san-mateo-atenco ### 2026-08-16: Mexico extortion reaches 11-year high in first half of 2026 Extortion in Mexico hit an 11-year high in the first half of 2026, with 6,562 registered victims. It was the only major crime to increase, largely driven by remote methods like telephone and internet fraud. 9 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/mexico-extortion-rates-hit-11-year-high-in-first-half-of-2026 ### 2026-08-13: Jalisco homicide rates decrease, ranking 15th nationally Jalisco has dropped to fifteenth place nationally in intentional homicides following a significant decrease in cases recorded between January and July. 2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/jalisco-homicide-rates-decrease-ranking-15th-nationally ### 2026-08-12: Mexico reports significant declines in intentional homicide rates Mexico reports significant drops in intentional homicides in states like EdoMéx, Michoacán, and Quintana Roo, though analysts warn that overall lethal violence remains higher than 2015 levels. 17 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/michoacn-reports-418-percent-drop-in-daily-intentional-homicides ### 2026-08-10: Mexico reports 51% drop in daily intentional homicides Mexico's federal government reports a 51% drop in daily intentional homicides between September 2024 and July 2026, though analysts warn of rising disappearances and high impunity. 78 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/mexico-city-reports-lowest-july-homicide-rate-in-12-years ### 2026-08-04: Michoacán crackdown on crime networks tied to Carlos Manzo murder and avocado extortion Michoacán authorities target the criminal network behind Carlos Manzo’s murder, extorting avocado growers for billions, while recent arrests cut crime revenues and homicide rates have fallen sharply. 22 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/gladyz-butanda-accuses-movimiento-del-sombrero-of-politicizing-carlos-manzo-murder ### 2026-08-04: Coahuila ranks second lowest homicide rate in Mexico, governor credits security strategy Coahuila posted the second‑lowest homicide rate in Mexico in 2025, with Governor Manolo Jiménez Salinas attributing the drop to coordinated security efforts and recent investments in police infrastructure and s 3 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/coahuila-ranks-second-lowest-homicide-rate-in-mexico-governor-credits-security-strategy ### 2026-08-02: Mexico homicide rate drops to 21.4 per 100,000 in 2025 Mexico’s homicide rate fell to 21.4 per 100,000 in 2025, a 16.6% drop, with state‑level declines in Nuevo León, Estado de México, Tijuana, and Chihuahua, aided by coordinated security programs. 28 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/mexicos-state-of-mexico-and-nuevo-len-report-lowest-july-homicide-rates-in-decades ### 2026-07-30: Mexican authorities destroy explosives manufacturing site in Guadalupe y Calvo Mexican forces destroyed an explosives site in Guadalupe y Calvo, launched large security operations in Naucalpan, Chihuahua and Morelos, delivered police equipment in Chihuahua and Colima, captured cartel boss 22 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/mexico-security-cabinet-reports-48-drop-in-homicides ### 2026-07-21: Mexico reports sharp drop in homicides as security strategy bears fruit Mexico’s security strategy cuts homicides sharply: State of Mexico down 58 %, Sonora records zero, Jalisco leaves top‑10, and nationwide daily total hits a multi‑year low. 47 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/mexico-records-historic-low-of-21-homicides-on-july-21-least-violent-day-in-a-decade ### 2026-07-09: Morelos tops Mexico’s lethal violence list as report notes decline in Nuevo León Mexico Evalúa reports Morelos with the nation’s highest lethal‑violence rate (58.2 per 100k) while Nuevo León’s rate fell to 12.1, reflecting a 50% drop in intentional homicides. 2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/morelos-tops-mexicos-lethal-violence-list-as-report-notes-decline-in-nuevo-len --- Cite as: Mexico violent crime decline continues amid regional spikes. CLSTR, https://clstr.news/situations/mexico-violent-crime-decline