# Nepal monsoon withdrawal and weather patterns

> Live situation record from CLSTR: https://clstr.news/situations/nepal-monsoon-withdrawal-and-weather-patterns
> Updated: 2026-10-05T02:02:39.000Z. Sources: 3. Developments: 2.

Meteorologists initially projected that Nepal’s monsoon season would conclude by the Dashain festival, noting that no significant weather systems were capable of producing heavy rainfall at that time. While the monsoon had already withdrawn from much of neighboring India, experts cautioned that light rain might still occur during the festival period.

However, subsequent forecasts indicated an increase in precipitation despite the monsoon’s withdrawal. Moisture-laden air from the Bay of Bengal and the Arabian Sea was expected to drive moderate rain and snowfall across various provinces, including Koshi, Bagmati, Gandaki, and Lumbini. Rainfall activity was predicted to persist until the day before Ghatasthapana, with conditions potentially easing on the holiday itself.

## Timeline

### 2026-10-05: Nepal weather forecast predicts increased rainfall and snow

Nepal expects increased rainfall and snowfall across various provinces, including mountainous and hilly regions, as moisture-laden air arrives despite the monsoon's withdrawal.

2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/nepal-weather-forecast-predicts-increased-rainfall-and-snow

### 2026-09-30: Nepal monsoon expected to withdraw by Dashain festival

Nepal's monsoon season is expected to withdraw by the Dashain festival, though meteorologists warn that light rain and cooler weather may still occur during the celebrations.

2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/nepal-monsoon-expected-to-withdraw-by-dashain-festival

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Cite as: Nepal monsoon withdrawal and weather patterns. CLSTR, https://clstr.news/situations/nepal-monsoon-withdrawal-and-weather-patterns