# Nigeria advances oil and gas targets through production > Live situation record from CLSTR: https://clstr.news/situations/nigeria-oil-output-and-refinery-expansion > Updated: 2026-09-14T17:26:48.000Z. Sources: 82. Developments: 19. Nigeria is pursuing ambitious energy targets, aiming for 3 million barrels of crude oil per day and 12 billion cubic feet of gas output daily by 2030. To drive this, the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) plans to implement annual or biannual licensing rounds and introduce “drill-or-drop” clauses to prevent passive ownership. Investment remains a central pillar, with the NUPRC targeting up to $50 billion in offshore oil and gas investments over the next five years. Recent production data shows progress toward these goals. In August 2026, crude oil and condensate production rose by 0.4% to an average of 1,677,777 barrels per day, allowing Nigeria to meet its OPEC production quota for the fourth consecutive month. This growth was attributed to the resolution of operational issues at the Erha field’s Single Buoy Mooring facility. However, current output remains below the 1.84 million barrels per day target set in the federal budget. In the gas sector, NNPC Ltd. is working to transform Nigeria into a global gas hub through its Gas Master Plan. The company aims to increase proven reserves from 215 trillion cubic feet to over 600 trillion cubic feet, targeting production of 12 billion standard cubic feet per day by 2030. This is supported by the expansion of LNG capacity, including the Train 7 project, which is intended to supply Atlantic Basin and Asian markets. Despite these efforts, the E3G think tank warns that Nigeria’s oil revenue could plunge by more than 60 per cent starting from 2030 due to the global energy transition. ## Claims - The Dangote Petroleum Refinery can process 650,000 barrels per day. (disputed by 2 sources) - President Bola Tinubu approved a new investment framework to unlock up to $50 billion in deep offshore oil and gas investments. (corroborated by 14 sources) - The reform replaces project-by-project negotiations with a transparent, rules-based framework to provide investor certainty. (corroborated by 13 sources) - The reform is implemented through the Deep Offshore Oil and Gas Projects Incentives (Tax Remission) Order, 2026. (corroborated by 13 sources) - The Bonga South West project, valued at approximately $10 billion, is expected to be one of the first developments supported by the reform. (corroborated by 13 sources) - The reform is intended to restart large-scale offshore developments that have been stalled for decades. (corroborated by 13 sources) - The reform follows discussions between President Tinubu and Shell plc CEO Wael Sawan. (corroborated by 13 sources) - NNPC Limited is authorized to amend eligible Production Sharing Contracts to implement the framework. (corroborated by 10 sources) - The 2025 licensing round awarded 31 companies successful bids for 37 oil and gas blocks. (corroborated by 8 sources) - Preparations are underway for the 2026 licensing round. (corroborated by 8 sources) - The NUPRC expects 22 major offshore oil and gas projects between 2026 and 2030. (corroborated by 7 sources) ## Timeline ### 2026-09-14: NNPC Ltd. aims to transform Nigeria into a global gas hub NNPC Ltd. aims to transform Nigeria into a global gas hub, targeting a production increase to 12 Bcf/d by 2030 through its Gas Master Plan and expanded LNG projects. 3 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/nnpc-ltd-aims-to-transform-nigeria-into-a-global-gas-hub ### 2026-09-13: Nigeria meets OPEC oil quota as August production rises Nigeria met its OPEC crude oil quota for the fourth straight month in August 2026, with production rising 0.4% to 1.68 million barrels per day including condensates. 12 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/nigeria-meets-opec-quota-for-fourth-straight-month-as-output-rises ### 2026-09-10: Nigeria oil revenue projected to plunge 60% from 2030 Nigeria faces a potential 60% drop in oil revenue from 2030 due to declining global demand and the energy transition, risking fiscal and economic instability. 5 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/nigeria-oil-revenue-projected-to-plunge-60-from-2030 ### 2026-09-07: Nigeria targets $50bn in offshore energy investments Nigeria aims to attract $30 billion to $50 billion in offshore oil and gas investments through 2030, leveraging its new IEA associate membership to boost credibility and production. 2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/nigeria-targets-50bn-in-offshore-energy-investments ### 2026-09-07: Nigeria advances energy sector via IEA partnership and major oil project Nigeria strengthens its energy outlook through a new partnership with the IEA and progress on the $21 billion Bonga South-West Aparo deepwater oil project. 4 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/nigeria-advances-energy-sector-via-iea-partnership-and-major-oil-project ### 2026-09-07: Nigeria plans frequent oil licensing rounds to boost production Nigeria’s upstream oil regulator, NUPRC, plans to hold annual or biannual licensing rounds to boost crude production toward a 4 million bpd goal using “drill-or-drop” policies to attract new operators. 3 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/nigeria-plans-frequent-oil-licensing-rounds-to-boost-production ### 2026-08-28: Nigeria to expand CNG station network to 1,000 to lower transport costs President Bola Tinubu has ordered 500 more CNG refuelling stations in Nigeria to help lower transport fares and offset the impact of petrol subsidy removal through cheaper alternative fuels. 10 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/nigeria-expands-gas-infrastructure-to-boost-economy-and-lower-transport-costs ### 2026-08-27: Nigeria's NUPRC and PENGASSAN target 3m bpd oil output by 2030 Nigeria's NUPRC and PENGASSAN aim to boost oil production to 3 million barrels per day by 2030 through increased collaboration and industrial stability. 9 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/nigerias-pengassan-and-nuprc-target-3m-bpd-oil-output-by-2030 ### 2026-08-23: Nigeria advances energy sector via deepwater projects and refinery growth Nigeria advances its energy sector through the $21bn Bonga offshore project, new deepwater tax incentives, and the Dangote Refinery's rise as a leading aviation fuel supplier to Europe. 11 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/nuprc-issues-payment-deadline-for-31-oil-block-winners ### 2026-08-22: Nigeria faces energy skills gap amid offshore investment potential Nigeria faces a critical energy skills gap that threatens its ability to attract $50 billion in offshore oil and gas investment and meet its 2030 production targets. 6 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/nigeria-faces-energy-skills-gap-amid-offshore-investment-potential ### 2026-08-19: Nigeria oil production rises amid new deep offshore incentives Nigeria's oil production has risen to 1.735 million barrels per day due to improved pipeline security. New tax incentives aim to unlock an additional 1 million barrels per day from deep offshore fields. 7 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/nigeria-oil-production-rises-amid-new-deep-offshore-incentives ### 2026-08-16: Nigeria targets major gas pipeline and offshore energy investments Nigeria faces both opportunities and hurdles in its energy sector, including a $25bn regional gas pipeline project and a target of up to $50bn in offshore oil and gas investments by 2030. 4 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/nigeria-targets-major-gas-pipeline-and-offshore-energy-investments ### 2026-08-11: Nigeria approves deep offshore oil reform to unlock $50bn investment President Tinubu has approved a new $50 billion investment framework for Nigeria’s deep offshore oil and gas sector, replacing project-specific negotiations with a transparent, rules-based incentive system. 29 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/nigeria-targets-doubling-livestock-sectors-32bn-economic-contribution ### 2026-08-11: Africa industrialization efforts expand through refining and manufacturing African nations and industrial leaders are scaling up manufacturing and refining capacities, notably through Nigeria's Dangote Refinery and Kenya's new palm oil projects, to reduce import dependency. 7 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/nigeria-aims-to-expand-refining-capacity-to-serve-african-market ### 2026-08-08: Nigeria oil production increases as sector shifts toward value-led strategy Nigeria's oil and gas production is rising, with NNPC Limited reporting a 6% growth in crude output. The nation is shifting toward a value-led strategy to balance exports and domestic refining. 6 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/nigeria-oil-production-increases-as-sector-shifts-toward-value-led-strategy ### 2026-08-05: Nigeria targets up to $50 bn offshore oil investment by 2030 Nigeria’s NUPRC plans 22 offshore projects worth $30‑$50 bn by 2030, having approved $57 bn in development plans, while indigenous firms like Heirs Energies boost production to 55,000 bpd. 14 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/nigeria-targets-3050-bn-offshore-oil-investments-by-2030 ### 2026-08-02: Nigeria's crude export earnings drop 14% in 2025 despite higher output, while 2026 H1 revenues hit $17.6 bn Nigeria's crude export earnings fell 14% to $31.5 bn in 2025 despite higher output, while H1 2026 saw $17.6 bn earned from 182 m barrels, highlighting oil's pivotal role in foreign‑exchange earnings. 4 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/nigerias-crude-export-earnings-drop-14-in-2025-despite-higher-output-while-2026-h1-revenues-hit-176- ### 2026-07-30: Nigeria launches massive energy expansion with new refineries and gas pipeline Nigeria aims to boost refining capacity to 2.64 m bpd by 2030 with 24 new refineries, while expanding gas use via a 600‑km AKK pipeline and a 2.05 Bcf/day domestic supply; REAN pushes faster renewable rollout. 14 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/nigeria-plans-264-million-bpd-refining-capacity-with-24-new-plants-by-2030 ### 2026-07-06: Nigeria’s oil output climbs above 1.8 million barrels per day as officials tout reforms Nigeria’s oil output rose above 1.8 million barrels per day after reforms, but analysts warn the surge is temporary, tied to reduced security incidents, a fading war‑price premium and higher domestic refining. 2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/nigerias-oil-output-climbs-above-18-million-barrels-per-day-as-officials-tout-reforms --- Cite as: Nigeria advances oil and gas targets through production. CLSTR, https://clstr.news/situations/nigeria-oil-output-and-refinery-expansion