# Polish public opinion on security and migration

> Live situation record from CLSTR: https://clstr.news/situations/polish-public-opinion-on-security-and-migration
> Updated: 2026-09-08T17:08:30.000Z. Sources: 19. Developments: 3.

Public sentiment in Poland reflects growing concerns regarding national security and deep political polarization. Recent polling indicates that 66.5% of respondents believe increasing migration from regions including Ukraine, Belarus, Asia, and the Middle East impacts national security. This view is most pronounced among Konfederacja voters, reaching 96%. While 50.6% of the public believes institutions respond appropriately to aggression against Ukrainian citizens, views are split by political affiliation; 63% of ruling party supporters view the institutional response positively, whereas 51% of opposition voters hold a negative view.

Further polling shows widespread skepticism regarding defense capabilities, with 63.2% of respondents doubting the readiness of the Polish military and security services to respond to border threats or direct attacks. This doubt is heavily influenced by political lines, as 82% of opposition voters view the military as not fully prepared, compared to 50% of ruling camp supporters.

New data highlights specific disagreements regarding military aid. A Pollster Institute study shows 58% of respondents oppose transferring additional Patriot missile systems to Ukraine, citing concerns over Poland’s own air defense capabilities following a recent incident where a Russian missile entered Polish airspace.

In response to regional tensions, NATO has increased military activity in Polish airspace. Amidst these tensions, 77.8% of Polish respondents believe the country should provide assistance to Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia in the event of a Russian attack, a sentiment supported by 83% of ruling coalition voters. Additionally, reports indicate Poland has become a primary target for Russian hybrid warfare, including cyberattacks and acts of sabotage, such as the May 2024 warehouse fire in Warsaw and a November 2025 attempt to sabotage strategic railway tracks.

## Claims

- 77.8% of respondents believe Poland should help Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia in the event of a Russian attack (corroborated by 2 sources)
- 83% of voters from the ruling coalition support providing aid to the Baltic states (corroborated by 2 sources)
- Poland is a primary target of Russian hybrid warfare (single source)
- The May 2024 fire at a warehouse on Marywilska Street in Warsaw was an act of sabotage commissioned by Russian services (single source)

## Timeline

### 2026-09-08: Poland: High public support for Baltic defense amid hybrid warfare threats

A poll shows nearly 78% of Poles support aiding Baltic states against Russian aggression, while reports highlight Poland as a major target for Russian hybrid warfare and sabotage.

6 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/poland-high-public-support-for-baltic-defense-amid-hybrid-warfare-threats

### 2026-08-23: Poland security: Public doubt in military readiness and NATO deterrence

Polls show 63.2% of Poles doubt military readiness for direct attacks, while NATO increases aerial activity near the Baltic to deter Russia amid debates over Patriot missile aid to Ukraine.

10 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/poland-poll-shows-majority-doubt-military-readiness-for-border-threats

### 2026-08-16: Poland: Polls show migration and institutional responses divide public

Polls show 66.5% of Poles link migration to national security, while public opinion on institutional responses to aggression against Ukrainians is deeply divided along political lines.

6 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/poland-polls-show-migration-and-institutional-responses-divide-public

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Cite as: Polish public opinion on security and migration. CLSTR, https://clstr.news/situations/polish-public-opinion-on-security-and-migration
