# Regional conflict impact on Arab aviation industry

> Developing situation record from CLSTR: https://clstr.news/situations/regional-conflict-impact-on-arab-aviation-industry
> Updated: 2026-11-05T04:00:40.000Z. Sources: 31. Developments: 2.

The Arab aviation sector is facing significant financial and operational challenges due to regional instability and rising costs. Emirates Group reported a 66 percent decline in half-year profit for the 2026-27 financial year, reaching USD 1.1 billion, which was attributed to rising fuel costs and operational disruptions caused by regional conflict in the Gulf. Specifically, the group reported a profit before tax of AED 4.1 billion (USD 1.1 billion) for the period ending September 30, 2026. This decline followed a 12 percent drop in revenue to AED 66.2 billion (USD 18 billion).

Emirates airline specifically saw a 68 percent decline in profit before tax, totaling AED 3.7 billion (USD 1 billion), while its revenue dropped 13 percent to AED 56.9 billion. Fuel costs increased by 60 percent before hedging, and airspace restrictions contributed to a 22 percent decrease in passenger numbers. While Emirates SkyCargo saw a 52 percent revenue surge due to maritime transport disruptions and reduced airfreight capacity, the airline's overall profit decreased significantly compared to the previous year. Additionally, the group subsidiary dnata reported a half-year profit before tax of AED 410 million (USD 112 million), a 51 percent decrease from the previous year. Despite these headwinds, the Group maintained a cash position of AED 54.1 billion (USD 14.7 billion) as of late September. The Emirates airline has since restored 91 percent of its pre-disruption network.

Broadening the scope, the Arab Air Carriers' Organization (AACO) projects a collective net loss of $4.3 billion for its 39 member airlines in 2026. This forecast is driven by geopolitical uncertainties and increased fuel costs, which are expected to account for 37.3 percent of operating expenses. AACO has also raised concerns regarding the European Union's proposed Emissions Trading System, suggesting it could impose unfair costs on regional carriers.

## Claims

- Emirates Group recorded a profit before tax of US$ 1.1 billion (AED 4.1 billion) for the first half of the 2026-27 financial year. (reported by 22 sources)
- Emirates Group profit before tax declined 66 percent compared to the previous year. (reported by 22 sources)
- Emirates Group revenue fell 12 percent to AED 66.2 billion. (reported by 22 sources)
- Emirates SkyCargo transported 1.2 million tonnes in the first six months, a 1 percent decrease from the same period last year. (reported by 11 sources)
- The airline has restored 91 percent of its pre-disruption network. (reported by 9 sources)
- dnata recorded a profit of US$ 112 million. (reported by 9 sources)
- Emirates SkyCargo revenue increased by 52 percent. (reported by 9 sources)
- Global jet fuel prices doubled compared to the same period last year. (reported by 7 sources)

## Timeline

### 2026-11-05: Arab airlines projected to face $4.3 billion net loss in 2026

Arab airlines are projected to suffer a $4.3 billion net loss in 2026 due to geopolitical uncertainty and rising fuel costs, according to a report by the Arab Air Carriers' Organization.

5 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/arab-airlines-projected-to-face-43-billion-net-loss-in-2026

### 2026-11-04: Emirates Group reports USD 1.1 billion half-year profit amid Gulf conflict

Emirates Group reported a USD 1.1 billion half-year profit, a 66% decline year-on-year due to Gulf regional conflict and soaring fuel costs, despite strong revenue growth in its cargo division.

26 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/emirates-group-reports-us-11-billion-h1-profit-amid-regional-conflict

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Cite as: Regional conflict impact on Arab aviation industry. CLSTR, https://clstr.news/situations/regional-conflict-impact-on-arab-aviation-industry