# Texas electricity supply and demand projections > Live situation record from CLSTR: https://clstr.news/situations/texas-electricity-supply-and-demand-projections > Updated: 2026-08-19T18:36:09.000Z. Sources: 2. Developments: 2. The Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) has issued warnings regarding potential electricity supply shortfalls as demand grows. Initial projections indicated that demand could outpace available supply as early as 2026, with discussions noting how residential solar and battery storage technologies might influence load management. Subsequent analysis suggests the situation may extend toward 2030, with peak demand in the ERCOT territory projected to reach 120 GW, a growth of more than 30% over recent levels. This projected shortfall is attributed to several factors, including gas turbine shortages, interconnection bottlenecks, and long development timelines. Furthermore, the expansion of the large-load queue—driven by data centers, manufacturing, and cryptocurrency—has grown by over 200 GW since 2024. Experts have noted that the current energy-only market may lack the revenue certainty required to finance the necessary dispatchable generation to meet these rising needs. ## Timeline ### 2026-08-19: Texas faces projected electricity supply shortfall by 2030 Texas faces a projected 80% supply shortfall by 2030 as ERCOT demand is expected to reach 120 GW, driven by data centers and industrial growth amid generation constraints. 2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/texas-faces-projected-electricity-supply-shortfall-by-2030 ### 2026-07-30: ERCOT Warns Texas Power Demand May Outpace Supply by 2026 ERCOT forecasts Texas electricity demand could exceed supply by 2026, while solar installers promote meter collars to ease panel upgrades; the SolarWakeup briefing noted FlexGen’s European expansion, First Sun 5 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/ercot-warns-texas-power-demand-may-outpace-supply-by-2026 --- Cite as: Texas electricity supply and demand projections. CLSTR, https://clstr.news/situations/texas-electricity-supply-and-demand-projections