# Turkish political polling trends

> Live situation record from CLSTR: https://clstr.news/situations/turkish-political-polling-trends
> Updated: 2026-09-07T12:12:11.000Z. Sources: 4. Developments: 3.

Recent polling data in Turkey indicates fluctuating support for major political parties, particularly within the Istanbul region.

In mid-August 2026, AK Parti Istanbul Provincial Chairman Abdullah Özdemir reported that the AK Parti held 44.5% of the vote in Istanbul, leading the CHP, which stood at approximately 40%. Özdemir noted specific gains in districts such as Beykoz and Gaziosmanpaşa, though he acknowledged the party had not yet reached the 51.14% support level achieved by Ekrem İmamoğlu in the 2024 local elections.

By late August 2026, data suggested a more complex landscape. In the Beyoğlu district of Istanbul, a July report by analyst Murat Kızılboğa indicated the Yeni Parti leading with 36.2%, ahead of the AK Parti at 34.3%. This marked a decline for the AK Parti from its 38.17% share in the May 14 election. Nationally, an Optimar Araştırma poll covering 26 provinces placed the AK Parti in first with 33.4% after distributing undecided voters, followed by the Yeni Parti at 18.2% and the DEM Parti at 11.4%.

In early September 2026, further polling by Murat Kızılboğa highlighted regional shifts. In Afyonkarahisar, the AK Parti remains the leader at 38.2%, while the Yeni Parti has emerged as a strong second with 26.9%. In Trabzon, the AK Parti experienced a significant decline, dropping to 36.5% from 47.77% in the last general election. In Trabzon, the Yeni Parti rose to second place with 24.6%, while the Yeniden Refah Partisi (YRP) grew to 9% support.

## Timeline

### 2026-09-07: Turkish election polls show shifts in Afyonkarahisar and Trabzon

Polling data for Afyonkarahisar and Trabzon shows the AK Parti facing declining support, while the YENİ Parti has emerged as a major political force in both regions.

2 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/turkish-election-polls-show-shifts-in-afyonkarahisar-and-trabzon

### 2026-08-28: Turkish political polls show shifting voter support

Recent Turkish election polls show the AK Parti leading in a multi-province Optimar survey, while the Yeni Parti holds the top position in a specific Beyoğlu district poll.

3 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/turkish-political-polls-show-shifting-voter-support

### 2026-08-14: AK Parti Istanbul Chairman reports new polling data

AK Parti Istanbul Chairman Abdullah Özdemir reported recent polls showing the party at 44.5% and CHP at 40% in Istanbul, noting significant gains in districts like Beykoz.

4 sources. https://clstr.news/cluster/ak-parti-istanbul-chairman-reports-new-polling-data

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Cite as: Turkish political polling trends. CLSTR, https://clstr.news/situations/turkish-political-polling-trends