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Abelardo de la Espriella Leads Colombian Runoff Polls
Colombia’s presidential runoff pits right‑wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella against centre‑left Iván Cepeda. Recent surveys from AtlasIntel, Guarumo, Ecoanalítica, CNC and Celag Data show De la Espriella ahead with percentages ranging from about 50 % to 53 % and Cepeda trailing between 44 % and 46 %, though a few polls register a technical tie.
De la Espriella, who won the first round by roughly 700,000 votes, has quickly consolidated support from traditional conservative bases and regional leaders, widening his lead in the final campaign days. Cepeda, a former human‑rights senator and son of a assassinated political leader, emphasizes continuity with former president Gustavo Petro’s policies.
Analysts note that De la Espriella is avoiding the “smear‑campaign” tactics common in the race, focusing instead on a sober policy agenda. Meanwhile, Google Trends data indicate his name remains more searched than Cepeda’s, though overall public attention is dominated by the FIFA World Cup, which eclipses political interest.
The second‑round vote is scheduled for this Sunday, with voter turnout and regional mobilisation expected to be decisive factors.