Antonis Samaras' prospective new party threatens New Democracy's vote share in Greece

Former prime minister Antonis Samaras is reportedly organizing a new political party ahead of the next Greek elections. Recent polls suggest that around 12% of voters who previously supported New Democracy (ND) consider it likely they would back a Samaras‑led party, and analysts estimate the new formation could capture more than 5% of the vote nationally.

New Democracy officials have begun calculating the electoral cost of the potential split, with some fearing loss of seats in single‑member districts and regions where Samaras holds strong influence, such as the Peloponnese. While the party has not been officially announced, internal discussions within ND focus on how the new movement could draw votes from the right‑leaning base and affect the governing coalition’s parliamentary strength.