Argentina poll shows Milei and Kicillof deadlocked ahead of possible runoff

A recent nationwide poll by Proyección Consultores measured a perfect tie between incumbent President Javier Milei and former Governor Axel Kicillof, each receiving 39.9% of the vote. In a hypothetical first‑round scenario, Milei led with 33.7% and Kicillof followed closely at 32.1%, a margin within the poll’s 2.3% error range, indicating a technical dead‑heat.

The study noted that 13.7% of respondents would cast a blank or null vote while 6.5% remain undecided, making the pool of uncertain voters a decisive factor. Economic sentiment is bleak, with 59.3% believing Argentina is in crisis and the Economic Outlook Index hovering near pessimism. Both candidates register negative personal ratings—Milei 55.4% negative, Kicillof 56% negative—and the electorate is split on “voto útil” strategies: 37.5% would vote against the opponent to block peronism, while 40.1% would vote to prevent Milei’s continuation.

These figures suggest a likely second‑round election if no candidate surpasses the required threshold, underscoring a highly polarized and uncertain political landscape in Argentina.