Arsenal identified as favorite to win 2026/27 Champions League

Supercomputer simulations from Opta have identified Arsenal as the favorite to win the 2026/27 UEFA Champions League. Based on 10,000 simulations, the London club holds a winning probability of approximately 20.9%, placing them ahead of Bayern Munich, who follows closely with 19.4% to 19.9%.

Manchester City is ranked third with a 12% chance, while defending champions Paris Saint-Germain sit in fifth place with a 7.1% probability. Other notable contenders include Barcelona at 8.2% and Liverpool at 6.1%.

Arsenal’s campaign begins with a challenging away match against Napoli at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. Despite the difficulty of their upcoming fixtures, including matches against Real Madrid and Bayern Munich, Opta predicts a 93.1% chance of Arsenal advancing to the knockout stages.