Ashley Hinson leads Josh Turek in Iowa Senate poll

A new Quantus Insights poll shows Republican Representative Ashley Hinson holding a narrow lead over Democrat Josh Turek in the Iowa U.S. Senate race. Hinson received 47.1% support, while Turek followed at 45.8%. The 1.3-point difference falls within the poll’s margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.

The survey, conducted September 28–29 among 714 likely voters, indicates the race is closely divided. While Hinson maintains an advantage among men and voters aged 45 and older, Turek shows strength among women, independent voters, and those aged 18–29. Libertarian candidate Thomas Laehn holds 1.7% of the vote, with 5.4% of respondents remaining undecided.

In head-to-head matchups involving only the two major-party candidates, Hinson’s lead expanded slightly to 48.9% against Turek’s 46.7%. The poll highlights distinct demographic splits, noting that Turek benefits from a 17-point margin among independents, whereas Hinson holds a 10-point advantage among men.