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[POLITICS] · Brazil · 93 sources

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Brazil presidential polls show Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro in tight race as Augusto Cury surges

Recent presidential polling for Brazil's 2026 election shows a shifting landscape. According to the Nexus/BTG Pactual survey, incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads the first round with 39%, followed by Senator Flávio Bolsonaro at 33%. The survey highlights a significant surge for writer and psychiatrist Augusto Cury, who rose to 11% in the same poll, making him the first third-way candidate to reach double digits in the first round.

In second-round simulations, the race is highly competitive. The Nexus/BTG Pactual poll indicates a technical tie between Lula (46%) and Flávio Bolsonaro (45%). Conversely, the AtlasIntel/Bloomberg survey shows Lula maintaining a lead with 47.1% against 42.6% for Flávio Bolsonaro, though this margin has narrowed compared to previous months.

Augusto Cury's rise has been accompanied by a massive increase in digital engagement, including a significant spike in Google searches and millions of new Instagram followers. Cury has denied allegations of using artificial means, such as bots, to boost his presence, describing his momentum as a ‘silent revolution’ of voters seeking an alternative to political polarization.

Entities

AtlasIntel · Augusto Cury · Avante · Band TV · Flávio Bolsonaro · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Nexus/BTG Pactual · PL · Ulysses Guimarães

Claims

What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.

Sources

Augusto Cury sobe 418% nas pesquisas [www.brasilparalelo.com.br]
11 days ago
11 days ago
10 days ago