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[BUSINESS] · United Kingdom · 20 sources

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Bank of England officials warn high energy prices may force rate hikes

Bank of England officials have warned that persistently high energy prices could force the central bank to tighten monetary policy. Governor Andrew Bailey stated that maintaining current interest rates will become increasingly difficult the longer energy costs remain elevated.

Deputy Governors Clare Lombardelli and Sarah Breeden also signaled a potential shift toward supporting higher borrowing costs. They cautioned that prolonged energy shocks risk creating indirect inflationary pressures through wage bargaining, inflation expectations, and business price-setting behaviors.

The Bank of England recently held the benchmark interest rate at 3.75% following a 6-3 split vote within the Monetary Policy Committee. However, the institution has projected that inflation could rise to approximately 3.75% in the fourth quarter of 2026 and exceed 4% in the first quarter of 2027. This outlook is compounded by rising energy costs, including an expected increase in the energy-price cap to £1,723 for the October-December period.

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Andrew Bailey · Bank of England · Clare Lombardelli · Monetary Policy Committee · Ofgem · Sarah Breeden

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