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Brazil 2026 elections: TSE validates candidates as Lula and Bolsonaro lead polls
The 2026 Brazilian presidential race is intensifying as the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) officially validates several candidate slates. Approved candidacies include those of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT), Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), Romeu Zema (Novo), Edmilson Costa (PCB), Hertz Dias (PSTU), and Samara Martins (UP). Seven other candidates, including Augusto Cury and Ronaldo Caiado, are still awaiting judicial review.
Recent polling indicates a competitive landscape. Datafolha reports Lula leading the first round with 38% of the vote, followed by Flávio Bolsonaro at 33% and Augusto Cury at 8%. In a potential second-round runoff, the race is a technical tie, with Lula at 46% and Bolsonaro at 44%.
Political tension is high following a corruption scandal involving Banco Master and leaked messages involving Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes. Meanwhile, the TSE has launched a National Pact for Peace and Tolerance to promote democratic stability and combat political violence during the election cycle.
Entities
Augusto Cury · Brazil · Datafolha · Flávio Bolsonaro · Kassio Nunes Marques · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · PoderData · Quaest · TSE · Tribunal Superior Eleitoral
Claims
What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.
- [DISPUTED] In the first-round simulation, Lula has 37% and Flávio Bolsonaro has 30%. portalpe10.com.br · folhadenoticiasgo.com.br · www.jornalcidade.net · marioadolfo.com · www.tribunanf.com.br · +1 more
- [DISPUTED] Augusto Cury is in third place for the first round with 10% of the vote. portalpe10.com.br · folhadenoticiasgo.com.br · www.jornalcidade.net · marioadolfo.com · www.tribunanf.com.br
- [● 10 SOURCES] President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro are in a technical tie for a potential second-round presidential runoff. www.jornalcidade.net · portalleiamais.com.br · www.glaucioericeira.com.br · informatudodf.com.br
- [● 7 SOURCES] In a simulated second round, Lula holds 40% of the vote compared to 34% for Augusto Cury. www.jornalcidade.net · portalleiamais.com.br
- [● 3 SOURCES] 48% of Brazilians disapprove of President Lula's administration, while 45% approve. folhadenoticiasgo.com.br
- [● 3 SOURCES] 49% of respondents believe the Brazilian economy has worsened in the last 12 months. folhadenoticiasgo.com.br
- [● 7 SOURCES] Augusto Cury grew eight percentage points in two weeks. folhadenoticiasgo.com.br · marioadolfo.com
- [● 19 SOURCES] The approved tickets are Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva/Geraldo Alckmin (PT/PSB), Flávio Bolsonaro/Alfredo Gaspar (PL), Romeu Zema/Eduardo Girão (Novo), Samara Martins/Raquel Brício (UP), Hertz Dias/Vanesa fatopaulista.com.br · maranhaodagente.com.br · www.araucarianoar.com.br · maisminas.org · oconvergente.com.br · +5 more
- [● 12 SOURCES] The TSE imposed a temporary ban on Pablo Marçal from campaigning, participating in debates, and accessing radio and TV advertising slots. fatopaulista.com.br · maranhaodagente.com.br · maisminas.org · oconvergente.com.br · regiaonoroeste.com · +2 more
- [● 19 SOURCES] The TSE unanimously approved the registration of six presidential tickets for the October elections. fatopaulista.com.br · maranhaodagente.com.br · www.araucarianoar.com.br · maisminas.org · oconvergente.com.br · +5 more
- [● 19 SOURCES] Seven presidential registration requests remain under judicial review. fatopaulista.com.br · maranhaodagente.com.br · www.araucarianoar.com.br · maisminas.org · oconvergente.com.br · +5 more
- [● 18 SOURCES] A total of 13 presidential registration requests were submitted to the court. fatopaulista.com.br · maranhaodagente.com.br · www.araucarianoar.com.br · maisminas.org · oconvergente.com.br · +4 more