Flávio Bolsonaro campaign crisis weakens opposition and lifts Lula's standing

Analysts highlight a growing leadership vacuum in Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential bid. Noblat criticized the campaign for “lack of coordination and strategic direction,” noting the candidate’s reliance on frequent trips abroad and erratic public appearances.

A recent AtlasIntel poll confirms the political damage: 64.1 % of respondents say the public feud between Flávio and his ex‑first‑lady Michelle Bolsonaro has harmed the senator’s candidacy, while only 9.2 % think it helped. The same analysis notes that the controversy has reduced perceived risk of a Flávio‑led government, with 48 % expressing concern about his potential presidency.

Political commentators say the turmoil has indirectly benefited President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Yuri Sanches of AtlasIntel observes that the crisis has given Lula a “modest boost in perceived stability,” though the race remains competitive and the advantage is not yet decisive.