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Sub-Saharan Africa economic growth projected at 4.5% by IMF
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) projects that Sub-Saharan African economies will grow by 4.5% in both 2026 and 2027. While the region shows resilience against global shocks, the IMF notes significant disparities between resource-rich and resource-poor nations.
Specific national outlooks include Ethiopia, which is expected to maintain a robust 9.2% growth rate in 2026, and Benin, which is projected to see growth of 7% in 2026 and 6.8% in 2027. In contrast, Mozambique is forecasted to grow 1.6% in 2027, an increase from 0.6% this year. Angola is also seeing improvements, with its current account surplus projected to rise from 1.6% of GDP in 2025 to 4.4% in 2026.
Despite these growth prospects, the region faces risks including energy supply disruptions, extreme weather events like El Niño, and a sharp decline in development assistance, which fell in 2025 and is expected to decrease by another 12% this year.
Entities
Americanas · Angola · Banco Central · Benin · Brazil · Confederação Nacional do Comércio de Bens, Serviços e Turismo · Darío Durigan · Ethiopia · International Monetary Fund · Lojas Americanas · Magazine Luiza · Mozambique
Claims
What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Global public debt is estimated at 95% of GDP and is expected to rise to 101.5% by 2031. oglobo.globo.com
- [● 3 SOURCES] The IMF projects Sub-Saharan African economic growth of 4.5% for both 2026 and 2027. correiokianda.info · financesao.com · journaldeguinee.com
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Americanas has closed 432 stores since the beginning of its accounting crisis in January 2023.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Advanced economies are projected to have a nominal deficit of 5.2% of GDP this year. oglobo.globo.com
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Ethiopia's economy is expected to grow by 9.2% in 2026. financesao.com
- [○ 1 SOURCE] The number of Americanas employees decreased from 43,123 in January 2023 to 23,988 in January 2026.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Brazil has 9.2 million defaulting companies, with R$ 238.6 billion in negative debts.
- [● 2 SOURCES] Development assistance to Africa fell sharply in 2025 and is expected to decrease by another 12% this year. mznews.co.mz · journaldeguinee.com
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Benin is projected to have economic growth of 7% in 2026 and 6.8% in 2027. eveildesnations.info
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Mozambique’s economy is projected to grow 1.6% in 2027, up from 0.6% this year. 360mozambique.com
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Angola's current account surplus is projected to increase from 1.6% of GDP in 2025 to 4.4% in 2026. correiokianda.info