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Brazil presidential run-off: Lula and Bolsonaro face tight race
Brazil enters the final week of its presidential election campaign ahead of the October 25 run-off between incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. Recent polling from CNT/MDA, Quaest, and Datafolha indicates a highly competitive race, with Bolsonaro holding a narrow lead that remains within the 2 percent margin of error.
The political landscape is shifting as the MDB party has split its support; 17 regional directorates have aligned with Bolsonaro, while 10 have backed Lula. Meanwhile, Lula has focused on mobilizing voters in key states like Minas Gerais, emphasizing social programs and proposing free public transport on weekends.
During a recent televised interview with TV Globo, Flávio Bolsonaro faced scrutiny over his proposals and denied that the January 8, 2023, events constituted an attempted coup. The interview was met with 'panelaços' (pot-banging protests) in several major cities. Additionally, the Brazilian Senate has approved a constitutional reform to reduce the standard work week from 44 to 40 hours, a move linked to the current political climate.
Entities
Brasil · Brazil · Brazilian Senate · Central Bank of Brazil · Datafolha · Flávio Bolsonaro · Folha de S. Paulo · Jair Bolsonaro · Liberal Party · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · MDB · Meta
Claims
What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.
- [● 3 SOURCES] Senator Flávio Bolsonaro changed his position and voted for the PEC ending the 6x1 work schedule.
- [● 4 SOURCES] The spot dollar closed up 1.17% at R$ 5.0871. valor.globo.com
- [● 10 SOURCES] The Ibovespa index fell 1.06% to 204,324.26 points.
- [● 8 SOURCES] The Senate approved a Constitutional Amendment Proposal (PEC) to end the 6x1 work schedule.
- [● 11 SOURCES] Flávio Bolsonaro leads Lula in a technical tie according to Quaest polling.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Goldman Sachs predicts the Ibovespa could reach 225,000 points if fiscal discipline and interest rate cuts occur.
- [● 4 SOURCES] A Datafolha poll shows Flávio Bolsonaro with 51% and Lula with 49% of valid votes in a technical tie.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Senator Flávio Bolsonaro changed his position and voted in favor of the PEC ending the 6x1 work schedule.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Lula has a 46% rejection rate, while Flávio Bolsonaro has a 44% rejection rate.
- [● 5 SOURCES] A Quaest poll indicates a technical tie with Flávio Bolsonaro at 46% and Lula at 44%.
- [● 5 SOURCES] President Lula may announce zero fares for urban bus transport on weekends and holidays. valor.globo.com
- [● 9 SOURCES] Flávio Bolsonaro leads among evangelical voters with 62%.