Brazilian election: Flávio Bolsonaro's decline and PT alliance push in Minas Gerais

Analysts note that Flávio Bolsonaro, son of former president Jair Bolsonaro, remains a leading contender in opinion polls, positioned just behind President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Polls show his support hovering near 30%; party insiders say he may withdraw if his numbers fall further.

Senator Camilo Santana, the PT's leader in the Senate, said the party will not run its own candidate for the Minas Gerais governorship in the 2024 elections. He argued that supporting an allied candidate would improve Lula's chances in the state, citing the PT’s poor performance during the previous state government. Santana also mentioned ongoing talks with centrist parties such as União Brasil and the PP to broaden the coalition, noting that Flávio Bolsonaro’s weak polling is encouraging broader alliances.

Both statements reflect the broader strategy of Brazil’s major parties as they position themselves for the upcoming presidential and state elections.