Argentina President Javier Milei's 2027 election push, tax cuts and PASO reform
President Javier Milei announced a phased reduction of the export tax on soy from 33 % to 15 % by December 2028 and similar cuts for corn, wheat, barley and other crops, framing the proposal as a campaign‑style guarantee for a second term. He also pledged to remove the foreign‑exchange “cepo”, lower tariffs on inputs and pass a law protecting private property, arguing that these measures will boost the agricultural sector.
At the same time, the Milei government is trying to eliminate the open‑primary system (PASO) but does not have the special majorities required in Congress – 37 Senate votes and 129 in the lower house. Lacking those votes, officials are weighing a temporary suspension of PASO for the 2027 elections as a compromise. Chief of Cabinet Diego Santilli is negotiating with provincial governors while Senate leader Patricia Bullrich heads talks in the Senate to secure support.
Opposition figures are also positioning for the 2027 race. Former Economy Minister Sergio Massa meets regularly with the Kirchner family and says Peronism could win a first‑round victory if a unity candidate is presented. Minister of Human Capital Sandra Pettovello is being floated as a possible vice‑presidential running‑mate for Milei, gaining visibility after accompanying him at the La Rural expo. Polls show Milei leading with roughly 39 % of voter intention, ahead of the Peronist coalition by about 16 points.
Entities: Diego Santilli · Javier Milei · Patricia Bullrich · Sandra Pettovello · Sergio Massa
Claims
What the coverage asserts, and how well corroborated each claim is across sources.
- [● 4 SOURCES] Lawmakers are considering suspending PASO for the 2027 election as an alternative to full elimination. (existing)
- [● 4 SOURCES] The government does not have the required 37 Senate votes and 129 lower‑house votes to approve the elimination of PASO. (Articles b5fd5585, 40eff451 and related reporting.)
- [○ 1 SOURCE] A national poll gave La Libertad Avanza 39% voter intention, leading the 2027 race by about 16 points over the main Peronist coalition. (existing)
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Opposition fragmentation in General Roca may help maintain the Soria family’s long‑standing control of the city. (article 69b8f70f-936a-4ee3-bc69-c7af3c148846)
- [○ 1 SOURCE] President Javier Milei pledged to lower the export tax on soy from 33% to 15% by December 2028, with staged reductions for other crops. (article 31359f8c-9e7d-4a14-845c-7f00e096b912)
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Sandra Pettovello is positioning herself for the 2027 election and gained visibility at the Rural Expo beside President Milei. (existing)
- [● 4 SOURCES] The government is considering repeating the 2025 suspension of PASO for the 2027 elections as an alternative to full elimination. (new)
- [● 2 SOURCES] President Javier Milei pledged to reduce the soy export tax from 33 % to 15 % by December 2028. (Milei’s speech at the Rural Expo and statements reported in articles 31359f8c and bd7bc295.)
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Critics allege President Milei is changing electoral rules to secure his re‑election in 2027. (new)
- [● 2 SOURCES] Senate leader Patricia Bullrich is leading talks in the Senate to secure votes for the PASO proposal. (Articles b5fd5585 and 40eff451.)
- [● 2 SOURCES] Sergio Massa meets regularly with the Kirchner family and believes Peronism can win the 2027 election in a first round. (Articles ee416da9 and c23a80de reporting on his meetings and ambitions.)
- [○ 1 SOURCE] Sandra Pettovello is being considered for the vice‑presidential slot on Javier Milei’s 2027 ticket. (Article 1c42bd0f reporting on her repositioning.)