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Jerônimo Rodrigues leads ACM Neto in Bahia gubernatorial poll
A new Real Time Big Data poll indicates that Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) leads ACM Neto (União Brasil) in the 2026 race for the governorship of Bahia. In a stimulated scenario, Rodrigues holds 47% of the voting intentions, while Neto follows with 43%. This four-point difference falls within the poll's two-percentage-point margin of error.
In spontaneous polling, where candidates are not pre-presented, Rodrigues leads with 38% against Neto's 26%. The survey also modeled a potential second round, where Rodrigues would reach 48% of the votes compared to 44% for Neto. When considering only valid votes in that scenario, Rodrigues holds a 53% to 47% advantage.
The poll interviewed 1,600 voters in Bahia between September 23 and 26, with a 95% confidence level. Other candidates, including Ronaldo Mansur (PSOL), received minimal percentages, while several others did not score individually.
Entities
ACM Neto · ANTT · Amilton Filho · Bahia · Eduardo Braide · Jerônimo Rodrigues · Maranhão · Marcos Rogério · Orleans Brandão · PT · Prado · Real Time Big Data
Claims
What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.
- [○ 1 SOURCE] In a potential second round, Jerônimo Rodrigues would receive 48% of the votes against 44% for ACM Neto. www.augustourgente.com.br
- [● 2 SOURCES] The survey was conducted between September 23 and 26, 2026. www.augustourgente.com.br · www.cnnbrasil.com.br
- [● 2 SOURCES] In a stimulated poll, Jerônimo Rodrigues has 47% of the votes compared to 43% for ACM Neto. www.augustourgente.com.br · www.cnnbrasil.com.br
- [● 2 SOURCES] The margin of error for the poll is plus or minus two percentage points. www.augustourgente.com.br · www.cnnbrasil.com.br