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California coastline faces sea level rise from Kelvin wave

California's coastline is bracing for a significant rise in sea levels, with scientists predicting waters could surge by as much as one foot. This phenomenon is driven by a Kelvin wave, also known as a coastal trapped wave, which is a massive, sustained bulge of warm seawater linked to El Niño conditions.

Unlike typical waves that crash on the shore, a Kelvin wave swells the tides from beneath the surface, potentially raising ocean levels across a zone extending 12 to 18 miles offshore. This surge arrives as California's coast is already vulnerable due to recent storms, high ocean temperatures, and ongoing erosion.

Experts warn that the convergence of these factors could intensify coastal flooding and beach erosion. Oceanographer Dillon Amaya noted that every two to four inches of sea level rise can essentially double the risk of flooding. The wave is expected to move toward the San Francisco Bay Area and eventually toward Alaska.

Entities

California · Dillon Amaya · National Marine Fisheries Service · Scripps Institute of Oceanography · US Geological Survey

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