Canada-Morocco World Cup 2026 Round of 16 Preview: Predictions and Lineups

The 2026 FIFA World Cup round‑of‑16 clash between Canada and Morocco is set for July 4 at Houston's stadium. Statistical models rate Morocco as slight favorites (45 % win probability) over Canada (27 %); a draw after 90 minutes is projected at 28 %. Morocco's strengths are cited as defensive organization, midfield control and knockout experience, while Canada’s potential edge lies in high‑energy play and the impact of winger Alphonso Davies.

Canada, coached by Jesse Marsch, will decide whether to start Davies, who returned from injury in the previous round‑of‑32 win over South Africa. Other probable starters include goalkeeper Maxime Crepeau, defenders Jonathan Buchanan and Sam Bombito, and forwards Jonathan David and Tani Oluwaseyi. Morocco’s lineup is likely to feature captain Achraf Hakimi, midfielder Neil El Aynaoui and forward Ismael Saibari, with limited rotation needed after a largely injury‑free tournament.

Both teams aim to progress to the quarter‑finals, with the winner slated to face either France or Paraguay.