College football Week 3 betting splits and statistical trends

Analysis of Week 3 college football betting splits reveals several statistical trends based on data dating back to the 2022 and 2023 seasons.

Several systems suggest fading specific teams based on historical performance against the spread (ATS). For instance, when more than 75% of the handle is on one side, that majority group has historically performed at a 47.5% ATS rate. Teams identified for this trend include Arizona State, Kansas State, Ohio State, Penn State, Alabama, and Colorado, among others.

Other trends include a 48.4% ATS rate when 76% or more of bets are on the home side, and a 47% ATS rate when the majority of the handle is on road favorites. Conversely, systems identified small home favorites of seven points or fewer with a 55.3% ATS rate, highlighting Texas State and South Alabama as potential plays. Road underdogs with a 58% or greater majority of the handle have also shown a 53.2% ATS success rate.