Dinamo Zagreb's Champions League statistical anomaly unlikely to repeat

Statistical analysis from Football Meets Data suggests that the statistical anomaly experienced by Dinamo Zagreb in the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League season is highly unlikely to be repeated. During that campaign, Dinamo secured 11 points but finished in 25th place, failing to qualify for the play-offs despite the points total typically being sufficient for advancement.

According to the data, the probability of a team finishing outside the top 24 with 11 points is only 0.1%. Most teams reaching that point threshold are expected to occupy a much higher position, such as 18th. The club's difficult season was marked by significant instability, including the appointment of three different managers: Sergej Jakirović, Nenad Bjelica, and Fabio Cannavaro.