Donald Trump loses support among non‑college voters, data shows

Data analyst Harry Enten cited a Marquette Law School survey indicating that non‑college voters, the core of Donald Trump's MAGA coalition, have shifted sharply away from him. In October 2024 the group favored Trump by eight points; the latest data shows a 22‑point deficit, a swing of roughly 28‑30 points.

Enten noted that Republicans are now down 13 points with non‑college voters while Democrats have gained a point, suggesting the shift could affect upcoming congressional midterm races. The loss of this key demographic, which helped Trump win previous elections, is described as a major challenge for both Trump and Republican candidates aligned with him.