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El Niño suppresses Atlantic hurricane activity, setting new records

The Atlantic hurricane season is on track to set a record for the longest period without a hurricane forming during the satellite era. Despite entering the typical peak of the season, no hurricanes have developed in the Atlantic basin so far this year, surpassing the previous records set in 2002 and 2013.

Meteorologists attribute this unusual inactivity to a strong El Niño pattern. This phenomenon creates a ‘triple whammy’ of atmospheric conditions that inhibit storm growth: high wind shear that decapitates developing systems, dry air that starves them, and downward-pushing winds. While Atlantic activity is currently at only 7% of normal levels, the eastern Pacific has seen significant activity, including 13 named storms and five hurricanes.

Experts warn that a quiet start does not guarantee a safe season, noting that historical precedents like 1992 saw devastating hurricanes arrive late in the season. Currently, only five relatively weak tropical storms have formed in the Atlantic this year.

Entities

National Hurricane Center · Weather Prediction Center