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[BUSINESS] · Czechia, Hungary, Poland, Italy · 18 sources

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EU gas storage at decade‑low levels as winter approaches

Gas storage sites across the European Union are only about 57‑58 % full, the lowest level recorded for this time of year since 2011. The shortfall leaves the bloc well below its revised target of 80 % capacity by early December, after the original 90 % goal was eased.

Analysts warn that the thin cushion could trigger sharp price spikes if a cold winter arrives. European gas prices have already risen from roughly €31 /MWh in early July to near €60 /MWh by the end of the month, and a severe winter could push prices toward €110 /MWh while storage falls to around 10 % by March. The tight global LNG market – strained by the Iran‑Hormuz conflict, which has cut about one‑fifth of world LNG supplies – forces Europe to compete with Asian buyers for spot cargoes, further limiting stock‑building.

Wood Mackenzie senior analyst David Lewis said Europe may need to implement demand‑reduction measures if winter proves exceptionally cold. The combination of low inventories, high Asian demand and limited new LNG supply growth makes elevated prices through the 2026/27 winter highly likely.

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David Lewis · Equinor · European Union · Gas Infrastructure Europe · Qatar · Qatar · Russia · United States · Wood Mackenzie

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