Europe winter 2026/2027 forecast predicts milder temperatures and less snow

Long-term forecasts for the 2026/2027 winter season suggest that Europe may experience milder conditions and less snow than average due to a strong El Niño phenomenon. This climate pattern, driven by unusually high sea temperatures in the tropical Pacific, influences atmospheric currents and storm movements.

According to the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), temperatures across most of the continent are likely to be above climatological norms. While this does not rule out cold spells or frost, the general trend favors milder weather.

Snowfall is expected to be lower than average in many regions, particularly in northwestern, southern, and central Europe. However, certain areas may see exceptions: high-altitude regions in the Alps (above 1,800 to 2,000 meters) and colder areas in the north and northeast of the continent may still receive significant snow. The upcoming ski season will likely depend heavily on elevation and specific location.