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[BUSINESS] · Germany, Greece, Italy, San Marino · 11 sources

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European Central Bank expected to raise interest rates to 2.5%

The European Central Bank (ECB) is widely expected to raise its benchmark deposit rate by 25 basis points to 2.5% during its upcoming meeting on September 10. This move follows a previous increase in June and is aimed at combating rising inflation in the Eurozone, which climbed to 3.3% in August.

There is a notable divergence between economists and market traders regarding the future path of interest rates. Most economists surveyed by Bloomberg suggest that this hike may mark the end of the current tightening cycle, with rates potentially remaining stable at 2.5% through 2027. Conversely, traders are pricing in approximately three additional rate increases by mid-2025.

Inflationary pressures remain driven largely by volatile energy prices, which have seen significant increases. While the ECB faces the challenge of stabilizing prices, it must also navigate the risk of an impending recession and the potential impact of higher borrowing costs on the broader economy.

Entities

Bloomberg · DWS International · European Central Bank · Frankfurt · Joachim Nagel · Ken Egan · Kroll Bond Rating Agency Europe

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