Florida gubernatorial race tightens between Donalds and Jolly

Florida gubernatorial election Byron Donalds David Jolly University of North Florida poll early voting

The Florida gubernatorial race has become a technical tie as the election approaches. A poll from the University of North Florida (UNF) shows Republican Byron Donalds leading Democrat David Jolly by two percentage points, with Donalds at 49% and Jolly at 47%. The two-point difference falls within the poll's 2.81% margin of error.

In the U.S. Senate race, Republican Ashley Moody maintains a four-point lead over Democrat Angie Nixon. While Donalds holds a 51% lead among Cuban Americans, Jolly leads among Puerto Rican voters (51% to 35%) and the broader Latino electorate (48% to 43%).

Early in-person voting data shows a Republican advantage, with 234,959 registered Republicans having cast ballots compared to 210,883 registered Democrats, a lead of 24,076 votes. Additionally, 156 local Florida officials have endorsed Donalds for governor.

Entities

Angie Nixon · Ashley Moody · Byron Donalds · David Jolly · Florida · University of North Florida

Claims

What the coverage asserts, and how many sources carry each claim.

[○ 1 SOURCE] The Democratic Governors Association is sending $1 million to David Jolly's campaign. twitchy.com
[○ 1 SOURCE] Byron Donalds leads Cuban Americans 51% to 42%. www.cubaheadlines.com
[● 2 SOURCES] Jolly leads Donalds by 16 percentage points among Independent voters. jaxtoday.org · thecapitolist.com
[○ 1 SOURCE] 156 local Florida officials endorsed Byron Donalds for governor. offthepress.com
[● 2 SOURCES] Registered Republicans have a 24,076 vote lead over Democrats in early in-person voting. wltreport.com · 100percentfedup.com
[● 4 SOURCES] The UNF poll has a margin of error of 2.81 percentage points. www.mundonow.com · jaxtoday.org · laopinion.com · thecapitolist.com
[● 4 SOURCES] A UNF poll shows Byron Donalds at 49% and David Jolly at 47% for the Florida governorship. www.mundonow.com · jaxtoday.org · laopinion.com · thecapitolist.com
[● 2 SOURCES] Ashley Moody leads Angie Nixon by four points in the U.S. Senate race. jaxtoday.org · thecapitolist.com