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[BUSINESS] · France, Germany, Greece · 15 sources

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France faces fiscal crisis as bond yields exceed 5%

France is experiencing a significant fiscal crisis as the yield on 10-year government bonds has risen above 5%, a level not seen since 2002. This surge in borrowing costs is driven by investor distrust regarding the government's ability to manage its public finances amidst political instability and social unrest.

The yield spread between French and German 10-year bonds has widened to over 170 basis points, reaching levels reminiscent of the Eurozone debt crisis in the early 2010s. Additionally, credit default swap (CDS) costs for the French government have reached their highest levels since that period, signaling increased perceived risk of default.

France currently holds a national debt of nearly 3.6 trillion euros, which reached 119 percent of GDP at the end of the second quarter of 2026. While Moody’s has maintained France's AA3 rating with a negative outlook, the rising interest rates threaten to consume a larger portion of the state budget, complicating efforts to reduce the deficit.

Entities

Agence France Trésor · Emmanuel Macron · European Central Bank · Eurozone · France · Germany · Moody’s · Paul Krugman · Robin J Brooks

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